YouGov Poll: More Voters Would Support Trump Over Biden if Election Held Today

These kinds of retrospective polls are not very useful, but very entertaining. President Joe Biden has fallen so far from the early highs of his presidency that voters are willing to hand the reigns back over to former President Donald Trump if a hypothetical matchup was held today.

The results come from a Yahoo News/YouGov poll, which does raise some eyebrows since these types of Trump-friendly polls usually come from places like Rasmussen or Trafalgar. That’s not to discount either of those polling firms, they’re both very good, but mainstream polling firms often don’t report or release numbers like this.

If the matchup was held today, Trump would beat Biden:

As inflation keeps rising and recession fears loom, a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that Joe Biden is currently in the worst shape of his presidency.

The survey of 1,541 U.S. adults, which was conducted from June 10-13, found that if another presidential election were held today, more registered voters say they would cast ballots for Donald Trump (44%) than for Biden (42%) — even though the House Jan. 6 committee has spent the last week linking Trump to what it called a “seditious conspiracy” to overturn the 2020 election and laying the groundwork for possible criminal prosecution.

Yahoo News is incredulous that even with the Jan. 6 show trial hearings raging, Biden is still trailing Trump. The hyperbole coming from Washington while Americans pay $5 a gallon for gasoline is falling on deaf ears.

People want to be able to afford their life, afford to go to work, afford to take their family on vacation, or just afford to run their business. Right now, Biden’s policies are making that harder and harder, and wages are being devoured by inflation.

It’s notable that this is the first time Trump has overtaken Biden in the YouGov poll numbers:

Since Biden took office, no previous Yahoo News/YouGov poll has shown him trailing Trump (though Biden’s most recent leads have been within the margin of error, like this one is for Trump). One year ago, Biden led Trump by 9 percentage points. In 2020, Biden won the White House by more than 7 million votes.

Republicans are running away with the question of which party voters think can better handle the economy. It’s not even close:

A full 61% of voters disapprove of the president’s handling of the economy (up from 58% last month), and Republicans now hold a 15-point advantage among voters on the question of which party would do a better job handling the economy (up from 11 points last month).

The red wave coming in November keeps growing as more and more voters wake up to Biden’s excuses and failed leadership. The buck never stops with him, it’s never his fault, and he’s going to pay dearly for it in November as his party is swept out of power up and down the ballot.

Americans are done with the Biden presidency and it’s not even halfway over:

In recent days, a series of stories questioning whether Biden will run for reelection in 2024 — and quoting concerned Democratic sources — have surfaced in the press. The concern isn’t limited to party officials. Just 21% of Americans — down from 25% three weeks ago, and the lowest number to date — say Biden should run again. But perhaps more strikingly, a greater share of 2020 Biden voters now say he shouldn’t run again (40%) than say he should (37%). Last month, those numbers were reversed.

There’s not a chance that Biden could mount a serious campaign again in 2024. He has a record to defend, and it’s indefensible. Any opposition with half a brain could blow past his excuses and complaints.

Biden’s presidency was an experiment and it failed. Americans wanted to rid themselves of mean tweets. Instead, they rid themselves of economic security and the level of regret is off the chart.


Nate Ashworth

The Founder and Editor-In-Chief of Election Central. He's been blogging elections and politics for over a decade. He started covering the 2008 Presidential Election which turned into a full-time political blog in 2012 and 2016 that continues today.

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