Florida Republicans have blown past another milestone, widening their voter registration advantage over Democrats to more than 1.3 million. The once closely divided swing state is now firmly under GOP control, and the numbers show it.
Party Chairman Evan Power said Republicans now have a 1,353,000 edge statewide, a lead that would have been unthinkable just a decade ago when Democrats still held sway across much of the state. The growth is the result of years of steady organizing, consistent turnout, and a political climate that has shifted heavily toward the right.
Key Numbers
- Statewide advantage: Republicans now lead Democrats by 1,353,000 voters
- Miami-Dade County: GOP holds a 37,000-voter lead, turning a longtime Democratic stronghold red
- Hillsborough County: Republicans now lead by 2.15 percentage points, another sign of shifting ground
- Growth timeline:
- November 2021: Republicans passed Democrats for the first time
- March 2022: Lead hit 100,000
- July 2022: Lead reached 200,000
- October 2023: Lead grew to 680,030
- September 2025: Lead now stands at more than 1.3 million
Florida is Redder Than Red
For decades, Florida was the ultimate prize in national politics. Presidential campaigns poured money into the state, hoping to win over retirees, suburban voters, and the large Hispanic population. But the math has changed.
In county after county, Republicans are not only holding their traditional ground but also cutting into Democratic strongholds. Miami-Dade, which once delivered Democrats the margins they needed to stay competitive, now has more Republicans than Democrats on the rolls. Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, has also shifted, showing that the GOP’s appeal is spreading into areas that used to lean blue.
Why Republicans Are Winning
Republican gains in Florida reflect a broader frustration with how Democrats are running the country. Families are struggling with higher prices, concerns about crime, and a border that feels out of control. Those issues have pushed many voters to the right.
At the same time, leaders like Governor Ron DeSantis and President Trump have given the GOP a strong identity in Florida, keeping the base energized and drawing in new supporters.
Democrats, by contrast, have failed to connect. The Biden administration’s stumbles have weighed them down, and the party’s state operation has been disorganized, underfunded, and unable to match the Republican ground game.
Looking Ahead
With such a large advantage, Republicans are in a position to dominate statewide elections for years to come. Democrats would need not just new voters but a wholesale shift in political mood to regain relevance. That seems unlikely given current trends.
Florida, once the crown jewel of swing states, now looks like a secure part of the Republican map. The numbers make it clear: the Sunshine State is no longer competitive ground for Democrats.