The latest national poll numbers from Economist/YouGov show an even tie between former vice president Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren among Democratic primary voters. The news comes as somewhat of a shock on the eve of the third Democratic debate which takes place on Thursday of this week.

Here’s the breakdown of the numbers which demonstrate just how volatile the race has become with Warren seeming to consolidate her support at the expense of Sen. Bernie Sanders and perhaps is even eating into support from Biden:

2020 National Democratic Primary:
Warren 26%
Biden 26%
Sanders 16%
Buttigieg 6%
Harris 6%
Booker 2%
Yang 2%
Bennet 1%
Bullock 1%
Castro 1%
Gabbard 1%
Klobuchar 1%
O’Rourke 1%
Williamson 1%

Source: The Economist/YouGov surveyed 1,500 American adults from Sept. 8–10, who were selected via an opt-in Internet panel. The margin of error for registered voters was three percent.

Warren’s Upward Trajectory

Warren has continued to observe polls showing her performing well, even outdoing Biden in some respects, but the results have still been somewhat inconsistent. Earlier this week we reported on a CBS News/YouGov battleground poll of early primary and caucus states which gave Warren some good news in Iowa and Nevada, where she’s putting up a serious fight, and great news in New Hampshire, where she leads handily at the moment.

Also, if it’s truly the case that Bernie is sitting 10 points behind Warren and Biden, that could be the start of a bad trend for him despite several pockets of optimism around the country. This is just one poll out of dozens, of course, but it’s one of the first to show a serious erosion for Sanders.

Warren has now passed Bernie in the RealClearPolitics average of polls by less than one percent, but it’s the trajectory of her campaign that matters right now.

Biden’s steady support rolls on as he sits around 30% on average, which means this number at 26% is not far outside his typical sampling. Over the past three weeks, Biden has ranged from a low of 26% to a high of 33%, hitting just about every number in that range between six different national Democratic primary polls.

Warren, on the other hand, in the same group of polls, has ranged from 13% to 26%, a vastly larger range which shows that not every pollster is in agreeance on where the race truly sits.

Bernie has had a range of support from 12% up to 24% during the same time period.

Biden is the most consistent, and the second-place spot shows the most upheaval right now which may indicate that there are a lot of voters who are completely unsettled on a candidate at this phase of the race, which is expected. Thursday’s debate may have some impact on their preference especially since all the major candidates will share the stage at the same time.

We will have complete coverage of the ABC News Democratic Debate on Thursday, Sept. 12, with live stream links and everything else you need to know for viewing.

36 COMMENTS

          • Pocahontas will be putting on her war paint to get ready for tomorrow’s war dance with the rest of the Democratic tribe. Most will be doing a kabuki dance to make up BS on what they want to do TO America.

            • ch355: You really need to tell this BS to some one who really gives a rat’s ass. The Demorats have no qualms with calling me a “white supremacist”. NOW, that sounds racist to me. Remember: “an insult is in the eye of the beholder”. You can watch your loony tunes Democrats tonight on stage making fools of themselves.

            • I relate being called a white supremacist to you calling a black the n-word. Like I said: “an insult is in the eye of the beholder”. As your S. Bend Mayor Alfred E, Neuman said: if you have a problem with my whiteness, speak with my maker.

            • Then I guess you just don’t understand how words work. White supremacism is an ideology to which you adhere. The n-word is a derogatory term for an inherent quality of a human being. These things are not in any way similar.

            • I equate being called a white supremacist to calling a black the n-word. For the final time: “an insult is in the eye of the beholder”. Beto said he was ashamed of his “whiteness”. Some words have different meanings to different folks. Demorats throw degrading words around like popcorn-racists, misogynists, white supremacist, Islamophobic, on and on at conservatives because they ARE those things and want to put the stink on the opposite party. The MSM and Democrats are ALWAYS twisting DJT’s words around to fit their narrative. Sorry, I am only a dumb chemical engineer who only knows how to put atoms and molecules together to make nasty chemicals.

            • Yes, I understand. You equate two things that are in no way equal, because you don’t understand how words work. It’s been noted.

            • Yes, I understand. You equate two things that are in no way equal, because you don’t understand how words work. It’s been noted.

            • Leave it to a Republican to first deny being a racist, then switch to claiming everybody’s a racist so it’s fine, and then finally switch to claiming he’s not a racist but the people who oppose racism are actually racists. All in the span of a few hours. How can you be expected to communicate with someone who can’t keep their thoughts straight for even a minute?

            • Yadda, Yaddas, Yadda, No Mas. You Win, all Democrats are fine, up-standing people who will all go to heaven and all us evil Republicans will go to hell. I pray you don’t go early ODing on Blue Koolaid. That is some nasty shit that will kill you if you drink too much.

              Saw your HRC on TV this morning in Italy. Looks like she is preggo. Maybe twins.

            • My wife said HRC looked frumpy to her and looked preggo. HRC needs to take longer walks in the woods. Understand she like to tip a few before dinner, lunch, and breakfast.

  1. And who says that lies won’t help you get ahead? Liawatha and her decades of claiming she is an Indian is undisputed proof that lying will work to your benefit.?

      • How is calling someone a liar rascist? If you have an answer proclaiming it is then you are a bigger doofus than even I thought you were.?

          • ch355: can you honestly say you have NEVER said the n-word, never called someone a wop or dago, used the word chink, that someone “jewed” you down, called someone a “redskin”,…. ??? These are all racists or ethic disparages. If you say no, then I’ll put you up for sainthood.

            • You think everyone uses words like the n-word, “wop,” “dago,’ “chink,” “jewed,” and “redskin”??

              It reminds me of the time a sports figure was accused of domestic violence. He went onto a talk show and the host asked if it was true that he hit his wife. He said, “sure. Everyone does. Do you mean to tell me your husband doesn’t hit you when you get out of line?” The host was shocked. She said, “of course not!” The sports figure didn’t believe her. He said, “no, be honest, he hits you when he needs to. You can’t tell me he doesn’t.”

              We tend to think everyone is like us.

            • Yup. This is a huge key to understanding how Republicans think. They truly do believe everyone is as racist, misogynist and hateful as they are. They believe non-racists are just faking it in order to feel good about themselves and get respect from others. This is why they are so fond of the idea of “virtue signalling”. For Republicans, it’s simply unthinkable that anyone could honestly not hate minorities and women.

            • Yes, I can honestly say I’ve never used those words. The fact that you find this so implausible says a lot about you and the people you associate yourself with. You are just racist, disgusting people.

            • ch355: Go buy you a sainthood cloak. I’ll put you up. I finally met someone who can sit next to Jesus. I noticed that you called “Republicans” racists, that’s a big generality. Like Democrats are not. It was LBJ who said: “we will own the n-word vote for 200 years” after passing the welfare act in the ’60’s. Robert “KKK” Byrd (D) was not exactly a great proponent for black folks. Democrats put on this “holier-than-thou” bull shit act when for well over 200 years they tried to keep the black population down. So, cut the crap. I ain’t buying it.

            • First of all, that’s not a real LBJ quote. You’ve been duped again.

              Secondly, yes there are racist Democrats. I’ve never denied that. Again, you need to learn how to read.

              However, being a racist is a requirement for Republicans. The entire platform is based on racism. This is not the case for the Democratic party. And, just so we’re clear, I’m talking about the parties as they are today, in 2019. Not 50+ years ago. Party platforms change over time.

            • “There you go again”, drinking the Blue Koolaid. What have the Democrats done for the folks except exploit them?? Blacks like Cummings, Maxi Waters, Big Al and Jesseee Jackson are all race baiters and have gotten rich off their race baiting. Your first Muslim president BHO, did NOTHING for the black population and except put more on food stamps and welfare and hurt race relations in the country.

              I guess now you have religion and the rest of us are heathens

            • For one thing, Democrats don’t automatically assign the religion of Islam to all black people. Just off the top of my head.

            • Neither do Republicans, But if it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, and hangs with ducks, it’s probably a Muslim. When did you become brainwashed into thinking the DNC has all the answers?? If Miss Piggy would have won, America would have been in deep dog do-do. The whole country would be looking like downtown LA and SF-homeless squaller. Notice you did not come up with ANY programs BHO enacted that aided black folks. Any prison reform, intercity enterprise zones, higher wages, less on food stamps as DJT did.

            • You hate muslims and you hate black people, therefore black people must be muslims. Trademarked Republican logic right there. Sprinkle random strawmen and misogynist attacks on random women on top, all expressed in a flurry of Fox News buzz words. How do you people manage to put pants on in the morning?

              Kicking poor people off food stamps is not helping, by the way.

            • It’s pretty amazing that you deny labelling black people as muslims as a punishment for the crime of being black, and then continue to label a black person as muslim as a punishment for the crime of being black, in the very same sentence. I know Republicans are dumb, but you’re a next level idiot.

          • You keep on wanting to paint everything in a negative connotation. I feel sorry for you. It must be horrible to picture anything and everything so bleakly. Did you have a mentally scarring experience as a child to make you have such a current dismal outlook on things? Perhaps you did or it may be that you are looking for an insult the moment you wake up. I suggest that you stop adhering to all of the liberal garbage about perceived slurs. You are aware I hope that life is too short to have such constant vitriol.?

            • If your complaint is that I have a negative opinion of people who use racist slurs, then I certainly plead guilty to that. I do not, however, agree that racist slurs are “everything”.

              The irony of you accusing others of “constant vitriol” is a bit too rich for me not to believe you’re just a parody account, though.

            • I think you have finally caught on. I am a Russian run account utilized by a bot, the type of bogeymen the DNC, FBI and countless others have been looking for to discredit your wonderful President Trump. Think how famous you will be. You a virtual nobody has succeeded where other high powered organizations have failed. I believe it is time to bask in your 15 minutes of glory COMRADE.?

              Unfortunately for being so perceptive you will now be on permanent vacation in a beautiful gulag somewhere in the very remote north of Siberia for the rest of your days. Expect my human comrades to pay you a visit shortly. You all will then depart on a one way trip to your new home in beautiful Siberia. ?

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