2024 Presidential Poll: Trump Beats Biden by 6 Points, Harris by 11

Given the current state of affairs in the country, beating President Biden by a mere 6 points seems unlikely. Something closer to the margin of Trump winning by 11 points versus Vice President Kamala Harris seems more in line with reality and Biden’s low approval rating.

Yes, polls like this, which look back and long for the good ‘ole days of yesteryear probably capture a reactionary element in people, but they also tell us how badly the current White House is managing the country to the point that voters are itching for a return to a Trump presidency and maybe they regret the way the 2020 election ended up.

Whatever the case is, it’s numbers like this from Harvard CAPS-Harris, and the numbers mentioned below by Emerson, that will give Donald Trump plenty of reason to seriously consider running again in 2024:

The same poll also found that Trump led Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical presidential match-up. If the election was between Biden and Trump, 47 percent sided with the former president, while 41 percent chose Biden. In a hypothetical matchup between Trump and Harris, Trump led 49 to 38 percent.

Another poll from Emerson College found Trump receiving a “nearly 12-point favorability advantage over Biden,” as 59 percent of respondents said they have a favorable view of the former president compared with 47 percent that said the same for Biden.

The article linked above to Newsweek was examining Trump’s polls in lieu of his apparent “praise” for Russian President Vladimir Putin. Most Americans aren’t that dumb to interpret or digest Trump as “praising” Putin anymore than he’s praising anyone else.

Trump enjoys complimenting people for taking advantage of the situation in front of them. In this case, Putin sees a weak America and launched an invasion of Ukraine and will probably end up getting what he wants by way of annexing more of the country and controlling more energy resources. He’ll probably doom Russia’s economy for a decade or more but in his mind, it must seem worth it.

The point here is that despite CNN and other outlets claiming Trump “praised” Putin or Trump is a “Putin Republican,” the effect is nonsense and meaningless, and voters don’t buy it. You can critically examine the situation without being on the side of Russia, no one supports what’s happening in Ukraine and everyone knows that.

Therefore, it comes as no surprise that Trump is polling well ahead of Biden, and light years ahead of the bumbling Kamala Harris on her daily adventures of word salad.

Newsweek couches their commentary on Trump’s words about Putin by contrasting it with Biden’s and wonders aloud why Biden isn’t polling better:

Despite Biden’s strong stance on Russia and Putin, the president has continued to see a low approval rating. According to a presidential approval rating tracker from Gallup, 42 percent of voters said they approve of Biden’s handling of the presidency in March. While this number is an increase from the previous month, it is down over 10 percent since March 2021, when 54 percent said they approved of his presidency.

The difference between giving lip-service words to a “strong stance” and actually taking a “strong stance” is why Biden is failing. He put America in a weak position by degrading our ability to remain energy independent with domestic production. How can America fight Putin’s Ukrainian invasion when we’re buying oil from Russia?

That’s why Biden’s polling is in the dumpster on everything, Americans aren’t that dumb. Biden lives in the day when the three major broadcast networks put out a White House statement and voters had no other information sources. That age was 50 years ago, about when Biden was starting his political career.

Repeatedly saying things like “Putin gas hike” doesn’t mean anything when Americans know better. It makes Biden look weaker and like a slimy politician blaming everyone around him but taking zero responsibility himself.

Trump’s already ahead of Biden and Harris in the 2024 presidential race. What more incentive does he need to announce a campaign and get started?


Nate Ashworth

The Founder and Editor-In-Chief of Election Central. He's been blogging elections and politics for over a decade. He started covering the 2008 Presidential Election which turned into a full-time political blog in 2012 and 2016 that continues today.

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