There’s been a lot of talk about the “gender gap” this year. Of course, that talk has increased since the release of the 2005 “Access Hollywood” tape. Many men have said, “everybody talks that way.” Scott Baio, and others, have said women all talk like that, too. Most women disagree. And men who want to ever be with a woman again, disagree, too! But the gender gap was real even before the tape release.

Nate Silver has developed two maps, based on actual polling, showing what the election would look like if only men voted, or if only women voted.

First, the map of Women’s America.

Next, the map of Men’s America.

…one demographic split caught my eye. That was from a Public Religion Research Institute poll conducted on behalf of The Atlantic. It showed a massive gender split, with Clinton trailing Trump by 11 percentage points among men but leading him by 33 points among women. . .

it seems fair to say that, if Trump loses the election, it will be because women voted against him. I took a look at how men and women split their votes four years ago, according to polls conducted in November 2012. On average, Mitt Romney led President Obama by 7 percentage points among men, about the same as Trump’s 5-point lead among men now. But Romney held his own among women, losing them by 8 points, whereas they’re going against Trump by 15 points.

However, The Daily Caller says it’s not too late for Trump to recover.

The recent pattern is similar to what occurred before and after the Democratic National convention. Before the convention, Trump was surging into a statistical dead heat with the former First Lady. After the convention, Clinton regained the upper hand, and stretched her lead into double-digits– only to lose it again.

The big question now is whether Trump can pull off a third great surge — with less than a month until Election Day. He can but only if he takes his campaign to the next level. Here’s how:

First, return to the central issue of the race: the economy. This is still Trump’s most important edge over Clinton. . . A corollary to Trump’s laser-like focus on the economy is renewed emphasis on taxes and Obamacare. . .

Second, project a strong commitment to bipartisanship. Americans are sick of legislative gridlock and the way the extremes in each party have held Congress hostage. . .

Third, speak about unifying the country. One of the biggest fears voters have is that America is becoming more divided by race, ethnicity, gender and sexual orientation. . .

Fourth, emphasize transparency and trust in government. This is a huge winning issue for Trump. However, rather than try to demonize Clinton – even threatening her with jail time if he’s elected — he should treat the issue more broadly. Only one in five Americans trust the government, and in a democracy that’s a terrible thing. . .

Fifth, end the hyperbole. Trump has a penchant for describing the policies of the Obama-Clinton years as a “disaster.” The description grabs people’s attention but Trump too often takes his messaging too far. For example, he claims that a policy – like NAFTA – is the “worst trade deal in the history of our country and possibly the world.”. . . Language and rhetorical style matter, and Trump is losing moderate voters who would like to support him.

There are many issues in this election—aside from sex. Seriously, there are. The Harrisburg American lists a number of them. It’s surprising to realize how many issues there really are.

RACE and POLICING—The continued deaths of unarmed African-American men women and children at the hands of police are turning into one of the most consequential civil rights issues of the new millennium. . .

ISLAMIC STATE—As Islamic State militants suffer setbacks in Iraq and Syria, they are becoming more intent on inspiring lone-wolf attacks, already seen in the U.S. and Europe. . .

ISRAEL—Support for Israel has been a mainstay of American foreign policy since the Jewish state’s creation in 1948. . .

TAXES—Presidents like to try reshaping the tax code to make substantive changes in fiscal policy and to show voters their priorities. . .

GUNS—The right to bear arms is carved into the Constitution and seemingly embedded in the national DNA. But after a seemingly endless stretch of violence, Americans are confronting how far those rights extend. . .

RUSSIA—Russia is reasserting itself, posing vexing questions for the U.S. and a presidential field seemingly split on Vladimir Putin. . .

JOBS—Tepid income growth and a smaller share of the population at work have kept many Americans anxious about jobs and the economy, seven years after the Great Recession ended. . .

SOCIAL SECURITY—Big changes are coming to Social Security, sooner or later. If left to later, those changes promise to be wrenching.

EXECUTIVE AUTHORITY—”Your Majesty” isn’t in the American political lexicon. But when a president sets a major policy by edict, skirting Congress, it sets off a debate that traces back to the time of kings and queens. . .

MINIMUM WAGE—Modest income gains, strikes by fast-food workers, the rapid growth of low-paying jobs while middle-income work shrinks. These factors have combined to make the minimum wage a top economic issue for the 2016 campaign.

WALL STREET REGULATION—The debate over rules governing banks and the markets comes down to this: how to prevent another economic catastrophe like the Great Recession ignited by the financial crisis in 2008. . .

INFRASTRUCTURE—The nation’s infrastructure is in need of repair and improvement. On that, politicians generally agree. Harder to answer: How to pay for it and which projects should take priority?. . .

IRAN—Last year’s nuclear deal with Tehran has removed for now the threat of a U.S.-Iranian military confrontation. But the deal rests on shaky ground. . .

REFUGEES—With millions of Syrians displaced by a years-long war and hundreds of thousands of people fleeing to Europe, countries around the world are being pressed to help resettle people seeking refuge. . .

CHILD CARE/PAY EQUITY—In much of the U.S., families spend more on child care for two kids than on housing. . .

EDUCATION—Education is a core issue not just for students and families, but for communities, the economy, and the nation as a global competitor. . .

STUDENT DEBT—More Americans are getting buried by student debt — causing delays in home ownership, limiting how much people can save and leaving taxpayers at risk as many loans go unpaid. . .

IMMIGRATION—The future of millions of people living in the U.S. illegally could well be shaped by the presidential election. . .

CLIMATE CHANGE—It’s as if Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton live on two entirely different Earths: one warming, one not. . .

ROLE OF GOVERNMENT—It’s the Goldilocks conundrum of American politics: Is the government too big, too small or just right? . . .

DEBT—The federal government is borrowing about one out of seven dollars it spends and steadily piling up debt. . .

TRADE—In this angry election year, many American voters are skeptical about free trade — or hostile to it. . .

SUPREME COURT—The ideological direction of the Supreme Court is going to tip one way or the other after the election. . .

CHINA—Tensions have been rising over China’s assertive behavior in the seas of Asia. The U.S. also accuses China of unfair trading practices and cyber theft of business secrets. . .

INCOME INEQUALITY—Income inequality has surged near levels last seen before the Great Depression. . .

OPIOID EPIDEMIC—More than 28,000 Americans died from overdosing on opioids in 2014, a record high for the nation.. . .

NORTH KOREA—Pariah state North Korea could soon be capable of targeting America with nuclear weapons. What can the U.S. do to stop it?. . .

HEALTH CARE—About 9 in 10 Americans now have health insurance, more than at any time in history. . .

AMERICA AND THE WORLD—How the U.S. uses its influence as the world’s sole superpower is a central feature of presidential power. . .

VOTING RIGHTS—Voting rights in America are in flux. . .

Our men and women are all people, and we are all Americans. If a candidate were to focus on what is important in OUR lives, he or she could walk away with the election.

30 COMMENTS

  1. I care about where our country is going. Donald Trump is more qualified than Hillary Clinton to create jobs, work with Military to keep us safe, enforce borders and our constitution. Donald Trump will stand up to our enemies foreign or domestic! By having a private server, sharing “C” information Hillary Clinton committed treason! Was it intentional or just for money? Ask any traitor that gets caught if it was intentional!

    • She didn’t share any classified data in any sense. What evidence do you have for that preposterous claim?

      • No proof Hillary destroyed it in any case incompetence being a deplorable who works for money I do expect basement dwellers to understand

        • Ad hominem fallacy. And the old Alex Jones defense, I see. Which does not wash as you CAN recover deleted data. I also work for money so no moral high ground to be taken there. If you align yourself with the racist, xenophobic and misogynist policies of Trump then, yes, you most certainly are deplorable as no one with a modicum of humanity and basic empathy could back such an obviously obnoxious and hateful man.

          • First you can not recovery data if the disc was wiped correctly it is gone forever second if voting for Trump makes me deplorable then OK does not hurt my feelings since I was called a liberal waco when I voted for Obama in the primaries when it was Hillary and Obama . Its funny how you use the term obnoxious and hateful take a real good look at the Clintons or not That is as a matter of fact one major reason why I voted for Obama instead of Hillary. Now as then her belief system is a moving target just consult the polls and that is her new policy. Such a changed person Hillary is from the days of supporting working for the Goldwater campaign to the Watergate scandal .Yes I agree with most negative things people say about Trump but I prefer to be associated with his Image than a obnoxious ,hateful , lying, closet racist, closet homophobic, criminal women this is why the very term she used for Bernie supporters fits her supporters so well BASEMENT DWELLERS a dark place. The Clinton campaign states she is a progressive good you believe that if you like except one thing she has a long history of just the opposite

            • Well a ton of data WAS recovered so that puts paid to that little conspiracy theory. Clinton did not use the erasure techniques you refer to.

              Also, repeated ad hominem fallacy merely weakens your position and strengthens mine.

              Trump is evidently xenophobic, racist and misogynist by his own admittance. What reasonable evidence do you have regarding Clinton’s career of “evil”, if any?

            • You stand corrected Hillary did in fact wipe the hard drive clean . Fact removed e-mails she claimed to be personal Fact sent the rest to the F.B.I as ordered Fact then wiped hard drive then turned over the computer what was recovered from that hard drive please tell. To correct you I use no hominem fallacy as I have not jumped to any criticizing conclusion in regards to Hillary so please do not use terms you fully do not understand .

              You actually heard Trump say he was a racist ? Please do not pull the press one liners from his speeches.

              Fact Hillary worked for and supported Barry Goldwater a known racist. I did not say Hillary has had a career of evil rather lives by double standards. The lack of a criminal conviction does not mean O.J. Simpson was innocent .
              I voted for Obama against Hillary I was called a women hater among other things. I support Trump over Hillary today and receive the same name calling from her supporters. I watch look listen and the real HATERS come from the Clinton supporters.

            • The ad hominem attack was against me, not Hilary. Insulting your opponent’s character rather than argument. Know your fallacy. YOU stand corrected.

            • If you have been insulted then I apologize. It is a term I use coming from Hillary herself and endorsed and justified by Bernie I was unaware it would be deemed as a insult as deplorable does not insult me not a justification the apology holds

            • A little about me I am married to a Mexican nationalist I live in Mexico, I see exactly what goes on. Although Trump spoke very harsh words granted could have been said in a kinder way and he lumps all Hispanics into Mexican. He is correct about crime . Human trafficking , rape , murder etc ……….. Poor people have been taught to raise there children to go to the United States by the Mexican government something the PRD has complained about for years . Do we need to build a wall Never going to happen but sections do need to be built not for security but to protect people from them selves thousands die each year in the desserts of Arizona and New Mexico. Immigration while I do not agree with U.S. immigration law ignoring it is the wrong way if it is wrong change the law. N.A.F.T.A. created wealth for the wealthy very bad overall for the working citizen in both countries Mexico prides itself in low wages, lack of worker safety, You are aware labeling laws have been reduced to nothing because of NAFTA it is a 20 yr old contract that failed. One fact for sure the human rights problems continue to worsen in Mexico. The white house has the power to promote change in Mexico but does nothing as long as it is a source of cheap labor. My wife’s family mostly highly educated very liberal minded people while they dislike Trump would rather have him than Hillary as they see Hillary as more of the same and Trump who would force the Mexican government and the country to change

            • To clarify, this is the exact wording:

              When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.

              He’s not saying Mexico “lets” people emigrate. He says Mexico “sends” them. There is no evidence of that. Also, the crime and rapists line is absolutely wrong. The crime rate among immigrants is a small fraction of the rate for people like you and me.

          • Mano: I’d have to disagree with you, here. If the YouTube is just some nobody babbling on, that’s one thing. But these are known experts. And in some cases, the Hillary fan had to agree that the claimant was correct.

            • In that case, there would still be reasonable evidence BEYOND the video itself. The video however is not evidence in itself. Same as Wiki is nothing without its references.

            • You appear to have me mistaken with a Trump supporter. Trump is the tax evading, sexual molester who wishes to destroy our first amendment rights. There is zero evidence of any wrongdoing by Clinton and she has been investigated by Republicans many times and they always come up with nothing. Pure wishful thinking on their part. Trump, on the other hand, is demonstrably villainous and Un-American by his own admission.

            • Mono will never watch the videos. I think Mono is a paid troll. He isn’t about open discussion he name calls. He is a permanent resident programmer. Most commonly used words…
              racist
              xenophobic
              misogynist
              ad hominem fallacy
              It is time you ask him…
              What evidence do you have?
              Look below.. someone called him out on it. Where is his proof. You made me provide it.

  2. President Reagan started “War on drugs”, so why doesn’t it start at the top? Every company I know, you have to take a drug test to get the job! Why not at the top? Even some states to receive welfare you have to take a drug test. Why not our leaders? Do all elected politicians take drug test? Why not leaders that enforce the laws?

    • In the first two debates, people asked if Trump was using cocaine, because he was sniffing so much. Carrie Fisher said she has experience, and that’s what it sounded like to her.

      Could it be that Trump is asking for a drug test as a bluff? (People will think he must not be doing coke if he asks for a drug test.)

  3. U have told Mr Trump the issues to address to win the election. What about Hillary Clinton? U might as well tell her the areas she should neglect in order to lose!

  4. Having both candidates focus on the issues would be a breath of fresh air for the electorate. If the release of an 11 year old tape by the Washington Post is of more importance to some people then are the issues, then I question their judgement.?

    Who has lived on this Earth for seven decades and is as pure as the driven snow? People feigning shock over some uncouth remarks are little more than HYPOCRITES.?

    This election as they all should be, should be not only about the issues but also the qualifications of the candidates. IMHO since Clinton has monumentally screwed up in every public office she has ever held, not only in policy or lack thereof but also morally and ethically, do you really want to give her another chance??

    Trump for PRESIDENT 2016.?

  5. Don’t really understand the gender gap issue. Are women really more concerned about Donald Trump’s locker room talk than they are about jobs, crime, national security and health care? As a woman I take the view that I am electing a president, not looking for a best friend. I’m more concerned that Hillary used her office of Secretary of State to garner cash for herself and her “charity” for political favors. Also, I believe that Trump is on the right track to reduce taxes to create jobs. Anyone that remembers Reagan should know that is a formula that works. Ladies, ask yourselves which is more important having a job, or your feelings hurt over an 11 year old video?

  6. The Clinton’s introduced NAFTA.
    Hillary has changed her mind about TPP, after calling it the gold standard.
    While SOS, she visited with 50? of major donors.
    Please watch this video.
    This is not an election about feelings as much as which direction we need to head. We must think about our country.
    We need jobs… Jobs that pay our country debt, and our bills.

    https://www.youtube.com/shared?ci=5HTutPX5KGM

    #Trump2016 #LatinosForTrump

  7. It is enough with experiments in the us. One experiment with a black guy as pres brought the world into chaos. No one is going to listen the girl even if she is a pres.

Comments are closed.