This has been the wildest year ever. And that comes from someone who remembers Eisenhower v Stevenson. Nobody took Donald Trump seriously at first. In fact, it was not until May that it dawned on the other Republican candidates that Trump may actually win the nomination. Heading into the autumn campaign, most people thought Hillary Clinton couldn’t possibly lose. But Trump moved ahead during her convention.

However, after her own convention, Hillary was so far ahead in the polls that she decided to try to run out the clock. But that was before the health rumors rattled her followers, and her collapse, and “oh, yeah, pneumonia.” Now, Trump has pulled ahead in several polls, and the momentum certainly is on his side.

PowerLine says even the Electoral College is on his side, now.

As Donald Trump has caught up with Hillary Clinton in the polls, he has likewise closed the gap in the electoral college. Ipsos/Reuters says the race to 270 votes is now nearly tied. Many are focusing on Maine, which allocates its electoral college votes by Congressional district, and where one district going for Trump might change the result. . .

Trump will win rather easily, and win going away as he did the Republican primaries. I expect him to carry states like Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Michigan, maybe even Pennsylvania.

Hugh Hewitt told the Washington Examiner why Trump is surging.

After enjoying “Peyton on Sunday Morning” ads all month, most Americans expect church, family and the NFL on the first day of the week, not bulletins on “Meet the Press” from NBC’s Richard Engle, who reported to Chuck Todd from the Chelsea neighborhood in Manhattan to open the show that he’d been covering scenes like the one behind him all year — from Europe.

The new normal. It isn’t because of the “climate of fear,” but because of the reality of random violence, some of it Islamist in origin, but most of it gunplay in the country’s most violent neighborhoods as in Chicago. . .

Is there a “shy Tory” vote out there that pollsters are missing because the respondents don’t want to tell anyone what they are thinking? If so, a flailing Hilllary Clinton is in deep trouble because even as she has surely won the grudging consent of elites, she has little appeal to the “unprotected” as Peggy Noonan so brilliantly has described the vast majority of Americans who are, to put it mildly, unsettled by the rapid pace of, well, everything.

There’s no question that Trump reaches people. The latest proof is that the party formerly known as the apologist for banks and big business now has a candidate who is bringing in record amounts in small donations.

Donald Trump has unleashed an unprecedented deluge of small-dollar donations for the GOP, one that Republican Party elders have dreamed about finding for much of the past decade as they’ve watched a succession of Democrats — Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders and, to a lesser extent, Hillary Clinton — develop formidable fundraising operations $5, $10 and $20 at a time. . .

All told, Trump is approaching, or may have already passed, $100 million from donors who have given $200 or less, according to an analysis of available Federal Election Commission filings. . .

“I’ve never seen anything like this,” said a senior Republican operative who has worked closely with the campaign’s small-dollar fundraising operation. “He’s the Republican Obama in terms of online fundraising.”

In another development, Politico says Republicans are registering more voters—in key states.

Republicans have continued gaining ground in recent months in voter registration in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Iowa, while the late surge in Democratic registrations relative to Republican registrations that occurred in battleground states during the final months of the 2012 election had not been replicated in numbers released in early August.

“The atmospherics of voter registration trends in those states do not point to a strong Democratic year, so that’s one negative the Trump campaign does not have to deal with at this point,” said Louisiana pollster John Couvillon, who added that spikes in registration can add a point or two to a candidate’s vote share in a close race. “The voter registration data I’m seeing does not support the idea of a surge in Democratic voter enthusiasm.”

In fact, RealClearPolitics now says the race is Trump’s to win (or lose).

As I wrote in August, Trump “must convince the nation … he is an acceptable, indeed, a preferable alternative” to Hillary Clinton, whom the nation does not want.

In Mexico City, Trump did that. He reassured voters who are leaning toward him that he can be president. As for those who are apprehensive about his temperament, they saw reassurance. . .

The “well-being of the American people” may be the yardstick by which U.S. policies will be measured in a Trump presidency. This is also applicable to Trump’s stand on trade and foreign policy. . .

Which of the military interventions and foreign wars from Serbia to Afghanistan to Iraq to Libya to Yemen to Syria served the “well-being of the American people”?. . .

Indeed, alienation explains the endurance of Trump, despite his recent difficulties. Americans want change, and he alone offers it. . .

This race is now Trump’s to win or lose. For he alone brings a fresh perspective to policies that have stood stagnant under both parties.

And finally, Trump’s unconventional strategy, according to Political Hype.

The 2016 presidential election has been anything but textbook when it comes to candidates and campaign strategy. Republican nominee and real estate mogul, Donald Trump outlined his fifteen state strategy to win the general election on November 8th which includes focusing on Democrat leaning states such as Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Maine. The aforementioned places have proven to be tough terrain for Republicans who have lost these states in the last six presidential elections.

While Trump’s strategy continues to defy convention and at times, logic. Focusing in on the Rust Belt, may not be such a bad strategy after all. As it looks now, Trump is paving the way to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue through Interstate 75, 80, and 94. For a Republican nominee this an interesting strategy given the five key states that run through the rust belt, Ohio, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin helped Obama win in 2008 and 2012. The result was largely due to Democrats fairing slightly better among working-class whites than Republicans in these states.

At first blush, this strategy seems a bit off, why waste time in states that have proven to be unfriendly to Republican presidential candidates in the past. However, Donald Trump as everyone knows by now, is not your run of the mill Republican presidential candidate. Trump’s appeal to voters transcends traditional party lines.

14 COMMENTS

    • I do not think Sanders had a chance, nor any of the other Democrat contenders for that matter. Not that I am a a Sanders supporter, but I think the DNC rigged the process for Hillary.

        • I agree the party rigged it for Hillary, but that’s kind of the point. If Sanders had been allowed to win the nom, the Dems would be running away with this thing and Trump would not be a threat to win. Sanders is STILL one of the most popular politicians in the country, while Hillary has some of the highest negatives and the least enthusiasm behind her.

          • I agree with you and I see the point. I am still trying to get over the DNC crap and tend to dwell. I just can’t believe that what happened , like everything else she has done, is being glossed over by most every media outlet. Yes, you’re right about Hillary being a poor opponent to Trump…but her polls are climbing.
            I have to confess she make me nauseous…so I’m not looking forward to four years of illness.

    • They might have had Hillary’s pets in the DNC not rigged the system…which to the Hillary crowd, seems acceptable. Wonder what they’re gonna do with our money when elected?

  1. It will be an interesting day on November 8 and the results there of. For the record, I am voting against Hillary Clinton.

  2. The reason IMHO that Trump is attracting so many formerly Democratic strongholds is rather obvious. The Democrats have had the White House for 16 of the last 24 years. The problems that W faced were fallout of failed Clinton plans. The GREAT RECESSION was a by product of Bill Clinton eviscerating the Glass-Steegal act. 9/11 could have been prevented had Bill Clinton taken up Somalia on its offer to hand over Bin Laden’s head on a plate. Prior to Afghanistan, AL Qaeda was in Somalia.

    Am I saying that W didn’t make mistakes, of course he did. But the two I mentioned above are MILES ahead in magnitude.

    Obama has made America weak in the eyes of the world. How long it will take to regain American stature is anybody’s guess. Once again IMHO he has also been the most racially DIVISIVE president I can remember. Everyone thought race relations were going to get better when Americans elected a black man. From what we see around the country, they are worse.

    Getting back to Trump, I think he is appealing to the Reagan Democrats. As long as he acts presidential in the debates and until election day, I think as you said, the campaign IS HIS TO LOSE.

    • I hope you don’t end up in a situation like in San Bernardino Party, Nice Festival, Pulse night Club etc.. to understand dangers. HILLARY and OBAMA did a great job in LIBYA and SYRIA, that’s why we see REFUGEES CRISIS all over EUROPE and AMERICA.

    • So it will be the ‘best’ of the ‘bad’ , like us – wish you the best – Here we have been in dire straits since then .

  3. Good morning from Portugal . I do so feel for Americans, even though the scale is different, we also had one election year where we confronted with only 2 parties . Terrible choice decision
    Wish you the best as we are also involved – whatever happens it will affect the world

  4. Have a question – Are the debates going to be about the political and economical situation ? Hope the moderator stops the ‘insulting’ between the 2 candidates and get on to serious matters.
    It is difficult to understand their stand on these matters or maybe I am just watching the circus Media sends to the world

    • Glad to have you join us. It’s not likely that the moderator will stop the candidates from doing anything. We’ve had a few instances of their trying, and they have been crucified for it.

      One moderator, Chris Wallace, has an answer, though. He says if he’s faced with an obvious falsehood or other idiocy, he’ll just turn to the opponent and ask, “what do you think of that?” If the opponent can’t answer, he or she doesn’t deserve to win.

      And, no, it actually IS a circus over here.

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