In a fascinating shift over the past few weeks, Scott Walker has now assumed the top spot in a national poll of Republican primary voters. That doesn’t come as much of a surprise since he has jumped into campaign mode and is receiving lots of support from moderates and conservatives within the GOP. The major news, which is more interesting, is that Dr. Ben Carson comes in a strong second place.

Report from The Washington Times:

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is leading a host of potential 2016 GOP presidential contenders with 25 percent of the vote in a national poll on the nomination contest released Tuesday.

Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson is second at 18 percent, followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 17 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 10 percent, according to the poll from the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling. [Emphasis added]

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas are at 5 percent apiece, followed by Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky at 4 percent and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and former Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 3 percent apiece.

Mr. Walker was at 11 percent in a PPP poll from last month, which 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney was leading with 21 percent of the vote, followed by Mr. Bush at 17 percent and Mr. Carson at 15 percent. After floating the possibility of entering the race, Mr. Romney said last month he is not running for president again in 2016.

Jeb Bush has remained fairly stagnant in these national polls since he announced an intention to explore a 2016 campaign. He took the top spot initially but hasn’t been able to climb past the eighteen to twenty percent mark. To see Carson one point ahead tells me that Jeb is having issues with the base in early primary states. I assumed he’d meet resistance, but this is pretty substantial given his recognition and party connections.

I assume that Carson doesn’t keep the second place spot but Walker very well may ride in the number one slot for quite some time until he falters or another flavor of the month comes out. However, you know what happens when you assume.


  1. I’ll take Ben Carson over Scooty anyday!

    The good news is that Jebby is disappearing the way of The Fat Christie.

    Best news is Rand Paul is in stealth mode!

  2. The Dr Ben Carson phenomenon is really something else. I would need to know more before supporting him, but I have to say I like his style and the more I see of him, the more I like him. Carson’s speeches lack the phoniness of many of his 2016 GOP peers. Turning my attention to the current front runner, Gov Scott Walker, my prediction is Walker will eventually fade. Walker has a Saturday Night Live quality to him- not ready for prime time- his speeches are bland and don’t resonate- most sound as if they were purchased off the shelf from Platitudes R’ Us. Walker is the opposite of Carson, as the more I see of Walker, the less I like him.

  3. Since there is no anointed one I the 2016 GOP field (like in 2000 with George W Bush), let’s take a look the type of candidates we have. In my mind there are three sets of GOP candidates – 1) Ones where the GOP primary would be more challenging the general election; 2) Ones where the general election would be more challenging than the GOP primary; and finally 3) the who really cares anyway group- these candidates have no chance or are hoping to score a radio show, be a TV commentator/host, raise their speaking fees, sign a book deal, etc. Some examples for Group 1 – Rand Paul, Jeb Bush; Group 2- Ted Cruz; Group 3- John “Let’s start a war” Bolton. I put two examples in group one because although Bush and Paul share this distinction, it is for different reasons. Bush will have a hard time with the base and grassroots questioning his conservative credentials. With Paul, it will be the establishment, in particular the neo-con wing, who will try to smear Paul’s record and take him out for fear that Paul may upset the military industrial complex apple cart.

    Anyone else want to weigh in?

    • I have said elsewhere that, at least at this juncture, I believe JEB (capitalized because those are his initials) and Rand Paul are the only serious contenders. Most others are cartoon characters.

      Nah. Rand’s biggest problem is Rand. He’s starting to look like “THE NEW-NEW” Romney.

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