Not the first thing I’ve written about the Tea Party and 2016, definitely won’t be the last either.

Report from the Washington Post:

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll shows Mitt Romney, who is not running (probably?), leading the field, with former Florida governor Jeb Bush in second place. As we’ve written before, though, the GOP hopefuls are so jumbled that the margin of error renders these kinds of polls pretty meaningless. Throw in Romney’s non-candidacy, and they are even less revealing of anything.

But one thing the polls do show right now is quite interesting, and that is that the tea party trails.

Let’s grant, for the sake of argument, that the most tea party-friendly candidates in the potential 2016 GOP primary field are Sens. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Ted Cruz (R-Tex.), along with neurosurgeon Ben Carson. These three, more than the others, appear to be aligned with that movement, even as someone like Paul is far more complex than the “tea party” label.

And despite a reasonably high profile for all three men — at least among the GOP base — they take a grand total of 17 percent of the vote. Meanwhile, more establishment-oriented Republicans such as Romney, Bush, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) combine to take 43 percent.

Essentially the “establishment” block of candidates is getting more early support than the “tea party” block of candidates. I’m not sure deducing those numbers indicates a whole lot other than the desire by many Republican voters to want to win which means they’re leaning “mainstream.”

The 2012 cycle brought us the Tea Party Debate, which was a venture between the Tea Party Express and CNN. Based on the RNC taking more control of the 2016 debate schedule, I doubt we’ll be seeing any debate which gives the Tea Party a platform beyond token recognition by individual candidates.

5 COMMENTS

  1. Note that the Tea Party debate was on CNN. That’s because Fox is NOT a conservative network, and certainly not libertarian. Fox is the mouthpiece of Establishment GOP, with Karl Rove largely running the show there. Even Bill O’Reilly gets sick of it sometimes.

    • Coming in June, 2015…

      “The Fox News Republican Debate moderated by Karl Rove (with additional questions from the Wall Street Journal editorial staff)”

  2. Nate — very well stated.

    The old fossils at the RNC have managed by hook-and-crook to purge most of the Tea Party from this neocon’s party 2014 elections — they’ve banked that Americans are sick and tired of King Bama and his hoodlum Band of Democrooks lording it over us. The Neocons have correctly calculated that the people will vote for ANYONE other than scumbag Obama-likes in 2014!

    What they have miscalculated is that once elected in 2014, these Neocons will be no different than the Democrooks they’ve replaced, and by 20126, the American people would have had enough of them, too!

    2016 — The Year of the Tea Party, or else!
    Unless a true Libertarian gets elected as President then, I fear another revolution will be forthcoming!

    “When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people
    to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another,
    and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal
    station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a
    decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should
    declare the causes which impel them to the separation.” — this is how our nation began, and may very well be repeated to restore it.

    Unless Obama is impeached for his constant Illegal Executive Orders bypassing Congress (and jailed for life for being Kenyan born, thus a pretender); unless the Rule of Law is restored; unless Liberty above Safety is recognized as the Founding Principle upon which our Nation was built (stopping the illegal NSA spying on ALL American Citizens is a start in the right direction); unless the US Constitution is once AGAIN Declared as Final Say on any laws that are passed by State or Federal Government as Null and Void when Shown to be UNCONSTITUTIONAL; unless All Foreign Aid is STOPPED forever, and that money given back to the American people who were taxed for it; unless ALL alphabet federal agencies are shut down for they are the Friend of Dictatorial Government by their very design, and thus the Enemy of Free Citizens; unless….

  3. In light of the Internet/Social media age, how about a feature about write-in candidates and voters’ frustration with the feckless two-party system?

    Thanks

    Write-in Roderick 2016 – rodericke.com

    • Roderick: That was the intent of “Americans Elect” in 2012, and it went nowhere.

      The trouble is that, since Howard Dean, the major parties have increasingly co-opted the Internet. During the last campaign, I could hardly find my regular email, because there were so much Dem and GOP spam.

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