The latest CBS News/New York Times poll of registered voters shows Romney leading President Obama by 1 percentage point which is within the margin of error. This poll is notable for a few reasons but perhaps the most telling is that it was taken of registered voters, not likely voters. Registered voter poll models tend to be more generous toward Democrats while polls of likely voters tend to give a slight edge to Republicans. The difference being that even though a voter is registered, it does not mean they will actually make it to the voting booth on election day while a likely voter probably will.

Report from CBS News:

President Obama and Mitt Romney are effectively tied in the race for the presidency, according to a new CBS News/New York Times survey.

Forty-seven percent of registered voters nationwide who lean towards a candidate back Romney, while 46 percent support the president. Four percent are undecided. The one percentage point difference is within the survey’s three point margin of error.

Romney leads by eight points among men; the president leads by five points among women.

The president’s supporters are more likely to strongly back their candidate. Fifty-two percent strongly favor Mr. Obama, while just 29 percent of Romney voters strongly back the presumptive Republican nominee.

More than one in three Romney voters say they are supporting Romney primarily because they dislike Mr. Obama. Only eight percent of Obama supporters say their support for the president is tied to their dislike of Romney.

Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats when it comes to voting in this election, though just one in three registered voters overall are more enthusiastic than they were in the past. Roughly half of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic compared to past elections – up from 36 percent in March – while just 27 percent of Democrats say they same.

Once all the polling firms begin the shift to likely voter poll models, we’ll learn more about where this election might be headed as we get into August.

16 COMMENTS

  1. Republicans are more enthusiastic …………gee after 8 years of Bush that is hard to believe. Like they let a black politician from Chicago get in.

  2. Billy:

    The hatred of Obama by rightwingers is roughly equivalent to what the hatred of Bush by leftwingers was. The media love hatred, and will whip it, whip it good.

    Likewise, the lack of enthusiasm by the left for Obama is about the same as the lack of affection the right NOW feels for Bush. Obama has not given the left much of what it wanted, even when he had two years of control. Bush was much better at ramming stuff through in his first term, so he was pretty popular with the right in 2004.

    Regardless, polls at this stage are “for entertainment value only.”

    My guess is that this poll was taken before the Bain Capital duplicity came to light. So the next poll will be a “big surprise,” and the media will have lots of “horse race” to talk about.

    Tweedledee and Romney.

  3. I don’t mind if your money goes the way of obama, and take the flipper with you.
    It’s not Republicans (which includes the old guard) it’s the new Republicans that count.
    Election Central, we voters don’t give anything about obama or mitt. Give me some news I can use. You, like the MSM seem to be ignoring the one bigger than all of you put together.

  4. Ron Paul destroys International Banksters PUPPET, Ben Shalom Bernanke — watch it and SHARE!

    part 1)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXcE2VP-tmg&feature=player_embedded
    ———————————————————————————————————-

    Ron Paul knocks down the Feds for their creation of phoney money — watch it and SHARE!

    part 2)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=doaQ3_ZUF6U&feature=player_embedded
    ———————————————————————————————————–

    Ron Paul further destroys International Banksters PUPPET, Ben Shalom Bernanke — watch it and SHARE!

    *Watch the facial expressions of Shalom Bernanke — looks like a guilty school boy caught cheating on a test!*

    part 3)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Q8Z-C3hyLE&feature=player_embedded
    ———————————————————————————————————-

    P.S. Has anyone noticed that when clicking on such YouTube videos, there is NOW about a 10 second delay before they play?

    Could the reason for this delay be that uTube wants to verify your IP addy so they can report it to some Big Brother US Agency to make a file…of who watches what?!

  5. Ron Paul — President of the GENUINE US Republic 2012!

    All Real Americans need to come to Tampa, in the millions, to assure this Last American Patriot’s VICTORY — or forever live in tyranny!

    Last Chance to Save our Nation — COME TO TAMPA — It’s NOW or Never!

  6. What exact day is the Vote on Audit the Feds?

    It should be this week — we need to have troops of Real Americans in front of Congress on that day, with Signs to let them know that ANYONE voting against it WILL BE HELD RESPONSIBLE as a wannabe destroyer of our Nation!

    Only anti-Americans will vote against it — and they need to be aware that We, The People, will know them by NAME, and will not rest until they are removed from Congress!

    • When you say Feds, the average voter thinks only of eliot ness and the untouchables. They just have no idea of what RP is talking about but they will. Greece is another planet and it can never happen here, for now anyway that is.

  7. IT’S SO SAID THAT PEOPLE ARE FILLED UP WITH SO MUCH HATRED. IT TOOK PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH 8 YEARS TO MESS THE COUNTRY UP AND EXPECT PRESIDENT OBAMA TO CLEAN IT UP IN 4 YEARS. EVEYTIME THE PRESIDENT COMES UP WITH AND IDEA SENATE KNOCKS IT OUT THE PARK. WE WILL BE RIGHT BACK WHERE WE WERE 12 YEARS AGO IF ROMNEY GETS IN THE WHITE HOUSE.

    • Ron Paul to WIN — or America to END 2012!
      (there are no other options!)

      All REAL Americans, and ALL People around the world— that believe in Liberty, Peace, Prosperity, Honesty, Truth, Goodness and Self-determination —are for Ron Paul.

      President Paul wants to save our Nation and heal the World, and desires nothing for himself — making him a True Patriot (unlike the megalomaniacs that want The Presidency, so they can get a bigger pie, and engorge themselves further at the people’s expense — marking them as Leeches on the path to suck US dry)!

      Ron Paul has awoken the Sleeping Giant that is We, The People! We are growing in numbers and our voice is no longer distant thunder — but a Roaring Storm that’s approaching and eventually will wipe out the PUPPETEERS that have stolen Our Nation!

      We are the MANY, while the Criminals in Power, that want to control us, are the FEW (and their subhuman squeals are getting weaker)!

      (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=xq3BYw4xjxE)

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