The latest PPP poll out of New Hampshire shows some serious movement in the presidential race over the past month. In short summary, Donald Trump is blowing away the Republican field in the Granite State and Bernie Sanders is easily topping Hillary Clinton.

Report from Public Policy Polling:

PPP’s new New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump in the strongest position of any poll we’ve done anywhere since he entered the race. Trump laps the Republican field with 35% to 11% for John Kasich, 10% for Carly Fiorina, 7% each for Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, 6% for Ben Carson, 4% each for Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio, and 3% for Rand Paul. Candidates falling outside the top ten in the state are Rick Perry at 2%, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, and Bobby Jindal all at less than 1%. Everyone does have at least one supporter on this poll.

To give an idea of how fundamentally the contest has shifted over the last four months none of Trump, Kasich, and Fiorina weren’t even included in the horse race question when we last polled the state in April. The candidate who’s made the most cataclysmic drop is Walker- he’s gone from leading at 24% all the way down to 7% in this newest poll.

On the Republican side, here are the current standings in New Hampshire:

35% – Trump
11% – Kasich
10% – Fiorina
7% – Bush, Walker (tied)
6% – Carson
4% – Christie, Cruz, Rubio (tied)
3% – Paul
2% – Perry

The rest are hovering below two percent. The biggest takeaway, aside from Trump, is how poorly Rand Paul is doing in New Hampshire at this point. In the span of six to eight months, he’s gone from one of the top contenders into a floundering campaign unable to gain any traction on any issue. The other big news is Kasich rising quickly after the first debate as well as Fiorina. New Hampshire loves outsiders, however, so Trump wins the day.

On the Democratic side, here is the breakdown:

42% – Sanders
35% – Clinton
6% – Webb
4% – O’Malley
2% – Chafee

Sanders, just like Trump, is riding the maverick wave so loved by the citizens in New Hampshire. They dislike any establishment candidates and tend to gravitate toward the outsiders. The notable exception is 2008 where Hillary Clinton lost Iowa, but went on to defeat Barack Obama in New Hampshire. This time around, Sanders is doing quite well but the question is whether he can sustain his lead once the Democrats start debating in October.


  1. Wouldn’t it be great if we had debates between the top GOP and Dem candidates? That would be about issues, not questions like, “would you support an idiot if he got the nomination?”

    Imagine seeing these:
    The Donald vs. Bernie
    Fiorina vs Hillary
    Rand vs Webb
    JEB vs O’Malley
    Christie vs Chafee

  2. I think we on the GOP side need to get our candidates off the border issue and onto issues like taxes, national defense, education, etc. Trump has been masterful at setting the tone for all we talk about these days. I think we’re pretty clear where they stand on border security and illegal immigrant issues

    There is so much more we need to get from these guys and the clock is ticking. I’d like to know their stances on the big issues and how the country will pay for what they want to do. We are broke and sinking more into debt each day. I think it is high time our politicians be forced to explain their positions on the serious topics and most importantly how they expect to pay for their ideas within the realm of providing a surplus budget that provides a pay-back solution for the wildly out of control national debt deficit. Time for Americans to wake up and force our politicians to truly work for the benefit of the people…

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