The state of Colorado is implementing a new system this year which allows registered voters to cast a ballot by mail. Every registered voter in the state has been mailed a ballot to simply fill out and return. Of course, voters can still show up at the polls to vote in person if they choose.

However, pollsters usually switch to a “likely voter” model when Election Day nears to improve accuracy by polling people they’re certain will show up and vote. If you no longer have to show up to do the voting, does that eliminate the advantage of targeting “likely voters” versus “registered voters?”

A snippet from the Washington Post:

One wild card in the future direction of Colorado’s politics is the new vote-by-mail system installed for the first time. All registered voters in Colorado have received ballots this fall and only need to fill them out and mail them in to cast their vote. Registered voters can still vote in person, and non-registered voters can become eligible the same day they show up at the polls. [Emphasis added]

Democrats believe this could be an valuable weapon for their candidates, now and into the future. Noting that Democrats in Washington and Oregon have solidified their strength since going to all-mail voting, David Winkler, vice president and director of research at the progressive Project New America, said, “There is a possibility that this year is the Republicans’ last stand.”

As mentioned, in Washington and Oregon, Democrats have improved their ranks after going to an all “vote by mail” system. Republicans have always been more likely to vote, especially in midterms, when voting meant you had to get in the car and drive to the polling place. With that requirement eliminated, anyone can now vote from their kitchen table. What effect will this have on the model of likely voters?

5 COMMENTS

  1. To favor Dems, they have to mail out the ballots to EVERYBODY, as in Colorado. If other states require people to request them, or pick them up, Republicans would be even more advantaged by mail vote.

    Vote-by-mail seems so counter-trend. We seem to want to require finger prints and eye scans to be absolutely, positively sure that nobody votes who doesn’t have proof of ID.

    Seems to me, in a by-mail election, all you’d have to do is counterfeit some ballots, forge a bunch for your candidate–and drop ’em in the mailbox. If the real person also mails in, the state would probably just throw out that name. So it would be just as good to forge names of people registered in the other party.

    And instead of voter registration drives, the parties would have “mail in your ballot” drives–“Let me show you how to fill out your voter card!!”

    Another option is online voting, which would favor Republicans, who are more affluent and more wired. And, of course, there would be hackers. . . .

    • Another option is online voting, which would favor Republicans, who are more affluent and more wired.

      Ha.. all we hear about is the “youth” vote which leans left and only uses cell phones. You don’t think it would benefit Dems far more because younger folks, rather than older folks, are much more likely to vote online versus mail or in person?

      • Naw. I think the youth vote is over-hyped. For one thing, they traditionally don’t vote, even when it’s made easier. And they’re fickle. I think they’d go for Rand Paul if he runs.

        More importantly, a lot of Romney’s “47%” don’t have computers.

        But you’re right, that young people, and poor people, are more likely to have a cell phone, and if you could vote by cell phone, that might shake things up.

        I’m old. I have, whatcha call, a “land line.” Ever heard of it?

  2. The Democrooks, by enacting this travesty, have ensured their wins through voter fraud!

    This must be stopped in all other States!

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