At an ever-growing rate thanks to a myriad of state voting law changes, up from 33% in 2008, a record 40% of votes could be cast prior to Election Day with the advent of “no excuse” absentee voting and early voting in some states.

Report from the National Journal:

From in-person at designated polling places to absentee that requires no justification, early voting is becoming increasingly popular and accessible across the country. Election experts estimate that a record 40 percent of 2012 voters could cast their ballots before Election Day, up from 33 percent in 2008. Both campaigns eyeing a jubilant November are taking note.

The Obama campaign has some practice in this arena. With significantly more resources at its disposal than rival John McCain in 2008, it made banking early votes a top priority and deployed some smart campaign tactics to that end. Of those who cast early ballots in 2008, 58 percent favored Obama, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll taken just before Election Day, versus McCain’s 40 percent.

Obama and his surrogates strategically scheduled events near early-voting locations so supporters could easily be herded or driven to those sites. Rally attendees who wore “I Voted” stickers got preferential seating. In addition, the Obama campaign diligently compared the early voter rolls provided by some states and localities with their own lists of supporters so they could devote time and resources only to people they hadn’t yet snagged.

In 2012, voters will be able to cast their ballots early in person in 32 states, while 27 will offer no-excuse absentee voting. Election calendars are still being finalized, but if states hew to their schedules from 2010, some could begin voting as early as mid-September. By the end of that month, voters in the key swing state of Iowa will be casting early ballots.

Don’t expect the Romney campaign to be nearly as outgunned as McCain was four years ago. “It’s not clear that it advantages either party as a partisan thing per se,” said political scientist Christopher Mann of the University of Miami, a former Democratic consultant. “It advantages the party that is more organized and more committed to taking advantage of the alternative methods of voting available.”

That is a pretty staggering number which further dilutes the importance of a single “Election Day” as the day of reckoning for the candidates. If “leaners” can be encouraged to vote early and get locked into a choice, it can stem the tide of voters closer to Election Day if news breaks which is positive or negative for any given candidate. “October surprise” will have to turn into an “August surprise” at this rate.

11 COMMENTS

  1. Oppose S. 3414: “Cybersecurity Act of 2012??

    American Patriots,

    There’s more to this Cybersecurity bill than just loss of our internet privacy, whereby government can legally spy on We, The People:

    “…Senators have offered an amendment to the Cybersecurity bill that would limit the purchase of high capacity gun magazines…this particular amendment, S.A.2575, …makes it illegal to transfer or posses large capacity devices that feed guns more than 10 rounds with the exception of .22 caliber rim fire ammunition.”

    In other words, not only will new purchase of gun magazines holding more than 10 rounds be banned, but the mere POSSESSION of them would become ILLEGAL !!! This Senate Amendment has nothing to do with Cybersecurity. It has everything to do with destroying our 2nd Amendment rights.

    Please, call your Senators and tell them to vote “NO” on S. 3414 and Amendment 2575 !!!

    • Much to do over nothing as violence is still less than 1% of what kills people. Too bad the government has never ever welcomed efficiency. (least amount of money that will save the most amount of people from death).

  2. Nate:

    “There you go again.”

    When Don Jusko said Ron Paul is the only one who can beat Obama, you rather sarcastically said that “Ron Paul doesn’t think so.” You then pointed him to an article in which Ron Paul says Ron Paul will not have enough delegates to win the GOP nomination [read: “on the first ballot”].

    That does NOT mean that Ron Paul is conceding that WILLARD will have enough to be nominated, either.

    MORE IMPORTANTLY, and to the point, show us in the article at the link you posted where “Ron Paul doesn’t think so.” I see nothing that says Willard could ever beat anyone.

    I think you owe Don an apology.

    • Ron Paul to WIN — or America to END 2012!
      (there are no other options!)

      All REAL Americans, and ALL People around the world— that believe in Liberty, Peace, Prosperity, Honesty, Truth, Goodness and Self-determination —are for Ron Paul.

      President Paul wants to save our Nation and heal the World, and desires nothing for himself — making him a True Patriot (unlike the megalomaniacs that want The Presidency, so they can get a bigger pie, and engorge themselves further at the people’s expense — marking them as Leeches on the path to suck US dry)!

      Ron Paul has awoken the Sleeping Giant that is We, The People! We are growing in numbers and our voice is no longer distant thunder — but a Roaring Storm that’s approaching and eventually will wipe out the PUPPETEERS that have stolen Our Nation!

      We are the MANY, while the Criminals in Power, that want to control us, are the FEW (and their subhuman squeals are getting weaker)!

      (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=xq3BYw4xjxE)

  3. Assuming we’re stuck with Romney and Obama, polls say that nearly everyone has decided and are saying that they will not change their mind. Furthermore, the numbers are outside of the range of error in all but ten states.

    The ENTIRE campaign is coming down to which candidate can convince four or five percent who live in about ten states

    Wouldn’t it be nice if they’d just knocked on the door of this one percent of the whole electorate? And that’s probably 1/3 of one percent of the total population.

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