The first daily Gallup Tracking Poll of the 2012 presidential race was released today showing Mitt Romney topping President Obama by 2 points. The poll is significant mainly due to the historical nature of Gallup’s data which has been tracking presidential politics for decades.

Report from Gallup:

PRINCETON, NJ — Mitt Romney is supported by 47% of national registered voters and Barack Obama by 45% in the inaugural Gallup Daily tracking results from April 11-15. Both Obama and Romney are supported by 90% of their respective partisans.

These results are the first from Gallup Daily tracking of registered voters’ general election preferences, which began on April 11 and will be reported daily on Gallup.com on the basis of continuous five-day rolling averages. This initial report is based on interviews with 2,265 registered voters, and highlights the potential closeness of this year’s race, with Romney and Obama essentially in a statistical tie. Gallup’s previous general election trial heat, from a national poll conducted March 25-26, showed Obama with a slight 49% to 45% lead over Romney.

Gallup began tracking the general election on Wednesday, April 11, after Rick Santorum suspended his campaign for the Republican nomination, making Romney the all-but-assured GOP nominee.

The race breaks down into the expected patterns by party, with 90% of Democrats supporting Obama, and 90% of Republicans supporting Romney. The Republican results show that despite the rancor and divisiveness of the Republican campaign, the vast majority of Republicans are backing Romney in the head-to-head battle with Obama, as they have in ballot tests earlier this year.

The crucial voting bloc of independents breaks toward Romney by 45% to 39%, giving the GOP challenger his slight overall edge.

The battle is for the swing voters and so far, Romney is carrying them with a reasonable lead. This will change, of course, as the race ebbs and flows.

30 COMMENTS

  1. This poll will undoubtedly change as time goes on. Personally I will follow at least 5 different polls including this one then I will be able to quantify and make informed decisions. For now I will blindly follow this poll and see how it unfolds, but where I seem to assume or prove an anomaly I will say it forthwith. It is a well-known fact that different polls will choose to side with their preferred candidates. Let’s wait and see if Romney can defeat Obama, which is obviously a mountainous task!

  2. Gee, some free time!! Won’t be tracking those polls. Made the right decision. Will vote for Ron Paul. Do a search and find the C-Span or Washington Journal program with Brian as he interviewed a room full of “delegates” at a luncheon or dinner. Scared me. Those Delegates have no joy or happiness exhibited. Sure it’s a serious issue, but these are young people. Hard looking, no humor, actually mean looking except for a couple. Arrogant and don’t like each other it seems. Wow, the chickens are coming home to roost, American Parents!!!

  3. And the final horse race has begun, with Willard ahead of Barry by a nose, and neither candidate officially their party’s candidate.

    Isn’t it funny that we’re trying to decide whom we want for president, and instead of hearing about THEM, the media is feeding us numbers about US.

    • Let’s turn back a page or two in the history book:

      Despite the buzz generated by Senator Barack Obama entering the race, the survey found that Senator Clinton would beat him for the Democratic nomination by a margin of 40% to 21%.

  4. Since the Democrat controlled Senate failed to advance the so-called “Buffett Rule” which would raise taxes on millionaires, Willard’s off the hook for now. People should never be misled by speculation that involve polls that are meant to confuse Americans. Mitt Romney has never brightly shone when it comes to confidence and he can’t withstand Obama’s wrath when it comes to votes, Obama will thump by a very high margin. Although polls could be healthy and partly pre-empt events before they even happen, nowadays there are hidden hands that secretly fund these self-proclaimed pollsters. Ask them to speculate roughly on the Dow Jones for the next week and by which margin for a rise or a fall they will hit a wall. These speculations are just like we Christians who always preach Jesus’s close coming again but will soon go away to our old ways since nobody really knows the actual date. That’s y I’m a bit skeptical when it comes to these polls. Had it been Ron Paul, yes I would have believed there would be tough competition between him and Obama. For these polls to anoint Willard is not only a fallacy but directionless praise-singing laced with secretive Mitt dealings hell-bent on catapulting him up the political ladder. Can’t say more!

  5. The first of these polls, on April 12, showed Romney tied with Obama, and Ron Paul BEATING Obama. Unfortunately, Rasmussen only keeps the latest poll online, with no cache, and the Yahoo and Google web caches appear to only go back one previous version. So…. one must subscribe to Rasmussen (3.95/month) to see the actual articles.

    However, if you do a web search for “Paul Romney Obama April 45 44 43”, you will at least find a lot of buzz and articles about it.

  6. Ron Paul? Who’s Ron Paul? I don’t know of anyone by that name unless you mean the crazy liberal who’s on a pointless race to the White House. Sorry Ronny but that Oval office seat is just too big for you. If you’re voting for Ronny then you might as well hold off and vote for Obama… Seriously, it’s a joke to vote for Mr. Paul he’s a tiny man with crazy thoughts and ideas that won’t even compete with Obama for crying out loud. We need someone who’s gonna put a good ol’ American spanking on those two goons.

    • Could you be a little more specific ? We know how you don’t like, now who do you favor ?

      I can’t argue with you about RP’s size but to call him a liberal ???? I don’t argue facts, I look them up and RP fits squarely within the definition of a true ultra conservative. A trillion dollars the first year in cuts leave all other candidates in his dust.

  7. With the elections as fraudulent as they are in every state, how can anyone believe ‘anything’ that is reported in media?

    Polls.. since media won’t report anything about Ron Paul, who really cares what Romney is up to? He’s a liar just like Obama was before he got elected.

    Slight Edge.. give him a shove already.. Out the door.

    I love this video..

    ROMNEY: The story of two men trapped in one body
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9njHHyRI7g&feature=player_embedded

    It reminds me of Obama before he was elected..

    Here’s a REAL poll

    Witness the Power of an Idea
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=hgsg7a-Ok8Q#!

    Wake up America… you’re sinking FAST

    • Watch a Romney rally — an EMPTY stadium with about a hundred sycophants only… mostly yawning.

      Then see the THOUSANDS of REAL AMERICANS and their genuineness on Ron Paul’s rallies!

      But the main media never shows this REALITY — so, are we to stand by and allow them to steal this Election away from us — when clearly the TRUE Americans have spoken?!

      Spread this video!

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wMVY5u9RuW8

  8. RON PAUL 2012!!!
    Do yourself a favor, watch a recent documentary called Agenda then listen to Dr. Paul in the debates.
    Morality is doing the RIGHT thing despite having the freedom to do what you want or what people pay you to say or do!

  9. Ron Paul supporters have proved voter fraud so many times. I wonder y some people can’t see that the GOP is strangling Dr Paul for Mitt s sake. The decision to suspend Santorum s campaign could have been necessitated by GOP behind-the-scenes meetings to convince him to bow out of race in order to cover face and prevent shaming themselves in case no one acquired required delegates. Ron Paul is Mitt s worst nightmare!

    • Sorry but I go with the money story, he spent himself right out of the race. I feel for the people who got stiffed.

  10. “Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson could pull as much as 6% of the vote in a hypothetical three-way match-up with Mitt Romney and President Obama. Johnson began the 2012 race running for the Republican nomination but has wound up carrying the libertarian banner and could gain ballot access in several states.”

    If the above transpires, it is a certainty that Mitt will not defeat BO (with his flip-flopping, he couldn’t defeat him anyway, now this would assure it).

    So he needs to withdraw now in favor of Ron Paul!

    Ron Paul WILL become President in 2012 — IF, Romney becomes a Patriot, and forgoes his ego, for the Good of the People!

    Mitt Romney could become one of the greatest Statesmen in US History! He’d be the Savior of our Nation — the one that generations to come would tell their children: “Look at this statue, this is Mitt Romney, he saved America”!

    Or, he can reduce himself to just a tiny footnote…what is amazing is that his fate rests in his own hands (a very rare occurrence throughout the history of the world)!

    All Romney has to do, is to take advantage of this rarest of historical moments, and make a SINGLE DECISION!!!

    Withdraw his candidacy IN FAVOR of Ron Paul, with the following grandiose and heart-wrenching patriotic speech (to save his political skin):

    “I, Mitt Romney, will sacrifice my political goals for the Good of the People. Now I understand that only Ron Paul that can save our Nation. I agree with all he stands for, therefore, I have deemed that our Nation’s salvation can only be accomplished when Ron Paul is elected as President of the United States of America. Without regret, but with joy, I do the most honorable and patriotic deed I can — I withdraw myself from this election, and give my full support to Ron Paul!”

    One honest person is needed to bring these logical conclusions to Romney’s PERSONAL ATTENTION (not the myopic sycophants surrounding him and stroking his ego by chanting wishful thinking as ‘fact’: “You gonna win Boss, you gonna win Boss….).

    Regardless how egotistical, arrogant and narcissistic Romney may be, some semblance of reasoning of what’s best for him, should still remain in his skull. The instinct for self preservation dictates that even the smallest of minds will chose the path that leads to safety, not the one leading to disaster.

    An honest realist needs to talk to Romney one-on-one — and explain the following to him, so Mitt can comprehend it:

    1) If you don’t win the nomination, than your political career is over (you’ll become just a tiny footnote in US History as a failure).

    2) If you win the nomination, and don’t defeat Obama — which is the most probable outcome (you’ll become just a tiny footnote in US History as an even LARGER failure).

    Therefore, Dear Mitt, whichever gamble you take from the above, may lead to total disaster for your political career (and probably will)!

    However, here is an action you can take, Dear Mitt, that guarantees you’ll become immortalized in the annals of US History — becoming the 21st Century Savior of America (surely this carrot of success will entice Romney’s egotism to go for it — over the probable political beatings he’d receive otherwise)!

    All one needs to do, to assure Mitt’s Historical Greatness of Sacrifice for the Good of the Nation, is to present the above to Romney’s eyes alone! I urge all able to do so, to place this document in front of him!

    Send this to Mitt Romney — as an Open Letter, e-mails, etc. — the more you send, the greater the chance he’ll get to read it!

    • BO is a shoo-in if Mitt is elected to run against him.

      So, concentrate to have Rmoney withdraw from the election in favor of Ron Paul.

      At this stage only Ron Paul can defeat BO — and no-one else!

  11. Romney and Obama are actually clones —

    “Claim scientists at Rothdale’s laboratory in Lead’s, Ireland who publicly announced yesterday that both men were actually cloned in the King’s College – Chicago University experiments of 1956. ”

    For all of those that have kept on stating, and warning the American people, that Romney = Obama — now you have this video to back you up!

    Share it — funny stuff…sadly!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IWDJEc92d38&feature=player_embedded

    • Ron Paul to WIN — or America to End 2012

      Take your pick…there are no other options!
      —————————————————————
      Ron Paul must take Rmoney to Tampa — to expose the GOP’s perfidy — when hundreds of thousands of Real Americans will come to the Convention voluntarily, supporting Ron Paul, the ONLY REAL AMERICAN PATRIOT in this race (vs a few hundred BUSED Rmoney bullies pretending they are actual people)!

      If the Republican Convention cheats Ron Paul out of The Nomination — then, go Third Party!

      There MUST NOT be a way allowed, for Rmoney to “debate” BO one-on-one — since this will be a Clowns’ Show (two liars trying to out-lie each other…when they are one-and-the-same HUMAN TRASH)!

      Ron Paul MUST be part of the DEBATES — so, he can clearly show up THESE politically trained monkeys for what they are — The ULTIMATE Destroyers of the USA!
      ————————————————————–

      Elect Ron Paul as President, if you want to Save America — vote for anyone else, if you WANT to DESTROY the USA!

  12. What did this young girl do, to get the Dogs-of-State to pursue and knock her of her bike brutally to the ground, and then maul her into painful submission?

    Watch carefully the chronological order (FREEZE picture at the time count given below — to see why):

    1) 0:32 — one of the Dogs-of-State signals the rest that he’s seen a cyclist taking a picture of “SOMETHING THAT MUST NOT BE SEEN”! So they run in pursuit.

    2) 0:44 — she is dragged down by two Dogs-of-State

    3) 0:51 — many more “Gang-of-Brothers” arrive surrounding their victim being mauled on the ground

    4) 0:57 — see the hand taking her cell phone away from her

    5) 1:10 — she manages to free one hand

    6) 1:11 — she tries to pass it in desperation to the people outside the circle of about a dozen Dogs-of-State trampling her rights

    7) 1:12 – 2:03 — she is still screaming in pain…but no-one can help her (since the AGGRESSORS, The Dogs-of-State are ARMED, and thus can inflict pain AT WILL on the disarmed, peaceful citizens)!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTSu5APmL0M&feature=player_embedded

    And more abuses follow!

    This is the MOST DISTURBING VIDEO I’ve seen taped on American soil!

    DISGUSTING is mild — words fail me to describe my feelings on this OUTRAGE — watching the ‘US KGB’ MAUL and ABUSE a young girl!

    Don’t know what you’ll do about it — but I’m sending this to Judge Napolitano, the ACLU, News Media outlets, and even contacting my Lawyers to look into filing a civil case against these SS Troopers (hopefully pics can be enlarged so their badge numbers can be seen)!

  13. Shocker In Tampa — Ron Paul Wins!
    ————————————–

    These WILL be the headlines next day — here is why:

    According to RNC Rule #38 — at the Tampa Convention NONE of the Delegates are ACTUALLY Bound! Delegates can vote according to their own judgment and conscience — and are NOT bound to vote according to how most delegates from their state vote.

    Precedent was set in 2008 Utah by Legal Council for the RNC (stating: The RNC does not recognize a state’s binding of national delegates, but considers each delegate a free agent who can vote for whoever they choose).

    Also, the Republican (and Democratic) Parties are Private Organizations — so voting within a party is NOT bound by Election Law!
    ——————————————————

    What does this mean? It clearly shows that ANY or ALL delegates can abstain from voting in the 1st round. Or in other words — Bye-bye Mitt !!!

    What do we need to do? Push for as many more delegate wins for Ron Paul as humanly possible — so a Ron Paul victory in Tampa is assured!

    But most importantly NOW — SHARE this information (spread it like wildfire)!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8kQly7ZR34&feature=player_embedded

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