A total of three unique pollsters have confirmed Rick Perry’s somewhat immediate ascension to the top of the 2012 Republican field at a double-digit lead over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

Both Gallup and Rasmussen, independent polling outfits, and Public Policy Polling, a partisan Democratic polling outfit, all find Perry with a similar lead.

Report from Gallup:

PRINCETON, NJ — Shortly after announcing his official candidacy, Texas Gov. Rick Perry has emerged as rank-and-file Republicans’ current favorite for their party’s 2012 presidential nomination. Twenty-nine percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide say they are most likely to support Perry, with Mitt Romney next, at 17%.

These results are based on an Aug. 17-21 Gallup poll, the first conducted after several important events in the Republican nomination campaign, including the second candidate debate, the Iowa Straw Poll, and Perry’s official entry into the race after months of speculation.

Romney and Perry essentially tied for the lead in late July, based on re-computed preferences that include the current field of announced candidates. Gallup’s official July report, based on the announced field at the time and thus excluding Perry, showed Romney with a 27% to 18% lead over Michele Bachmann. Romney enjoyed an even wider, 17-percentage-point lead in June over Herman Cain among the field of announced candidates (Gallup did not include Perry among the nominee choices before July).

Report from Rasmussen:

Texas Governor Rick Perry, the new face in the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, has jumped to a double-digit lead over Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann with the other announced candidates trailing even further behind.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary voters, taken Monday night, finds Perry with 29% support. Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who ran unsuccessfully for the GOP presidential nomination in 2008, earns 18% of the vote, while Bachmann, the Minnesota congresswoman who won the high-profile Ames Straw Poll in Iowa on Saturday, picks up 13%.

Texas Congressman Ron Paul, who was a close second to Bachmann on Saturday, has the support of nine percent (9%) of Likely Primary Voters, followed by Georgia businessman Herman Cain at six percent (6%) and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with five percent (5%). Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania, and ex-Utah Governor Jon Huntsman each get one percent (1%) support, while Michigan Congressman Thaddeus McCotter comes in statistically at zero.

Report from Public Policy Polling (PDF File):

Raleigh, N.C. – Before Rick Perry’s sudden emergence, there had been several presidential candidates this year who momentarily captured the imagination of the right wing—first Donald Trump in March, then Herman Cain in June, then Michele Bachmann in July. But not even Trump so quickly and decisively turned that into an actual lead in a PPP national poll of Republican primary voters.

Perry gets a full third of the GOP’s support, 13 points ahead of Mitt Romney’s 20% and Bachmann’s 16%. Everyone else has really settled into the background, with Newt Gingrich at 8%, Herman Cain and Ron Paul at 6%, Rick Santorum at 4%, and Jon Huntsman at 3%. Bachmann is down five points from a lead last month; Romney holds his ground, and Perry is up 21 points. If Sarah Palin jumps into the race, it would knock
Bachmann to fourth at 10% behind Perry’s 27%, Romney’s 17%, and Palin’s 13%.

Perry has sucked the air out of the room for Michele Bachmann and is increasingly threatening to continue eroding Mitt Romney’s support.


  1. These polls are about as crooked as it gets. Every legitimate poll that publishes the sample size and is open to the public has Ron Paul as the clear winner. So why don’t these polls show the sample size? Why aren’t they open to the public? How many separate polls did they do before they got the results they wanted to publish? Exactly.. it’s pure propaganda. No one is voting for Perry since even Texans hate him.

    • So polls that show Ron Paul in the lead are accurate and legitimate but polls that show Ron Paul not in the lead are inaccurate and not legitimate?

      If you click on the link to each poll, you can find the sample size and all the cross-tab information.

  2. I agree with “jon” completely. Why is he ranking so high in the polls so soon after entering the race, without even participating in any of the previous GOP debates. If this has any affect on popularity, why not wait till last minute to get exposed to the public, since those who’ve already stated their platforms early on get backseated in these “polls”. I know a texan here in new england who’s stated that “even though i’m texan, i wouldn’t vote for perry”. I wonder how much I have to pay those “pollers” to get their top pick.
    BTW, Nate, you’re doing a stellar job with the site. Keep up the great work!

  3. It has been hoped for a long time that either Rick Perry or Chris Christie would jump in the race. We needed someone who could broaden the appeal of voters, have a good record, and tough enough to face Obama (he will run rough and has a $1B bankroll to date). Perry more than meets that criteria. Obviously he is doing what Romney, Paul, and Backmann could not … appeal to a broader base of conservatives.

    Romney’s healthcare in MA that Obama has stated he based his Obamacare on will hurt him severely in the general election (I can see the ads now). Also, Romney laid off a lot of American workers through his companies and moved operations to China. This will not set well with voters. Obama will come out strong and steam roller him. Bachman & Paul just don’t have broad enough appeal.

    Perry talks the talk, but walks the walk!

  4. How can anyone vote for a bilderberg participant? You are going to DESERVE what you get. After he gardasiled sixth grade girls the bilderbergers knew he was their man.

  5. the polls on ron paul are very biased and paid for as they were last year, he is unelectible and if you knew how Iowa caucuses are done you would realize that, they are based on how many people you pay to appear. It is a lot harder to question the polls listed above. The major problem here is who can we nominate that will replace Obama and will he be better. I would agree that romney who I use to favor last election has shot himself with the healthcare issue and his pro abortion. I think Rick Perry is the number one candidate that can rally the troops to get Obama out, we need control of all houses and presidency to get Obama care voted out and to turn this economy around. My best hope is that Perry choses Hermain Cain as a running mate then he would be a shoe in.

  6. @rl beard…..unelectable? when he is the only one that knows whats going on..ie..he predicted the 2008 collapse..you are brainwashec by the mainstream media that are pro establishment..Do you want the status quo?? vote for Romney or Perry…This country is going in the downward spiral fast..and you want the status quo..All of them support the status quo, except Paul…this country is heading to an inevitable collapse, chaos, unrest…wake up sheep…

  7. oh and by theway these polls are absolutely rigged….definitely…Double digit leads? I dont know anybody that likes this guy anywhere i go..anyplace i come accross..As a matter of fact it is the complete opposite, everyone despise this guy..I hear a lot of bad things..ie pro NAU with the Nafta freeway, shady Bilderberg association, flip flopper… just to name a few. Those polls are 100% lie…just a propaganda to condition the gullible ones to vote for this otherwise unelectable one.

Comments are closed.