Home » 2028 Presidential Polls: Republican & Democratic Primary Averages

2028 Presidential Polls: Republican & Democratic Primary Averages

Follow the latest 2028 presidential polls with Election Central’s independently calculated Republican and Democratic primary polling averages. Compare candidate support, explore recent surveys, and track how the race for each party’s presidential nomination is developing.

Use the interactive polling tracker below to compare 2028 Republican primary polls and 2028 Democratic primary polls, explore historical trends, and see what’s changed in the latest polling averages.

The 2028 nomination picture

2028 Primary Polling Averages

Independent equal-weight averages of individual surveys.

Republican Primary

7 distinct pollsters · within 60 days · Fieldwork Sep 13–Nov 1, 2026

Leading the Republican primary average JD Vance 7 polls reporting this candidate
37.3%
Ahead of Marco Rubio by 13.4 points
Leader trendWeekly 60-day averages over the past 90 days · relative scale
-2.2 points
2.Marco Rubio
23.9%
3.Donald Trump Jr.
11.8%
4.Ron DeSantis
7.3%
5.Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5.0%

Each displayed candidate has results from at least 3 polls.

Latest polls in this average

7 qualifying pollsters · Each contributes its latest eligible survey

Pollster / fieldwork VanceRubioTrump Jr.
Atlas IntelOct 31–Nov 1, 2026 33% 46% 2%
Harvard-HarrisOct 24–26, 2026 40% 21% 21%
Echelon InsightsOct 15–19, 2026 38% 20% 7%

Open the Republican tab for the full contributing-poll comparison.

Democratic Primary

7 distinct pollsters · within 60 days · Fieldwork Sep 13–Nov 1, 2026

Leading the Democratic primary average Kamala Harris 7 polls reporting this candidate
23.9%
Ahead of Gavin Newsom by 9.0 points
Leader trendWeekly 60-day averages over the past 90 days · relative scale
-2.8 points
2.Gavin Newsom
14.9%
3.Pete Buttigieg
11.1%
4.Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.7%
5.Jon Ossoff
7.7%

Each displayed candidate has results from at least 3 polls.

Latest polls in this average

7 qualifying pollsters · Each contributes its latest eligible survey

Pollster / fieldwork HarrisNewsomButtigieg
Atlas IntelOct 31–Nov 1, 2026 13% 9% 16%
Harvard-HarrisOct 24–26, 2026 34% 20% 10%
Echelon InsightsOct 15–19, 2026 19% 14% 13%

Open the Democratic tab for the full contributing-poll comparison.

What's Changed in Primary Polling?

Observed surveys and independently calculated 60-day polling averages, compared with seven days earlier.

Republican Primary

1 survey with fieldwork ending during the last seven days.

60-day average changes from seven days earlier

  • Marco Rubio+3.7 points
    20.2% → 23.9%
  • Donald Trump Jr.-2.5 points
    14.3% → 11.8%
  • JD Vance-0.7 points
    38.0% → 37.3%

As of Nov 7, 2026 · 7 qualifying pollsters vs. 6 seven days earlier.

How changes are calculated

Independent equal-weight 60-day averages compared seven days apart. Each comparison requires three qualifying pollsters and at least three polls reporting a numerical result for each candidate. Surveys entering or leaving the window can change the average; these are not changes among the same respondents. Blank answers are excluded rather than treated as 0%.

Democratic Primary

1 survey with fieldwork ending during the last seven days.

60-day average changes from seven days earlier

  • Kamala Harris-1.8 points
    25.7% → 23.9%
  • Jon Ossoff+1.7 points
    6.0% → 7.7%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.2 points
    9.5% → 10.7%

As of Nov 7, 2026 · 7 qualifying pollsters vs. 6 seven days earlier.

How changes are calculated

Independent equal-weight 60-day averages compared seven days apart. Each comparison requires three qualifying pollsters and at least three polls reporting a numerical result for each candidate. Surveys entering or leaving the window can change the average; these are not changes among the same respondents. Blank answers are excluded rather than treated as 0%.

Latest Individual Primary Polls

Browse individual polls
PrimarySampleTop reported resultsSource
Oct 31–Nov 1, 2026 Atlas Intel Republican 1089 LV
Rubio 46%
Vance 33%
DeSantis 5%
Survey ↗
Oct 31–Nov 1, 2026 Atlas Intel Democratic 1089 LV
Ocasio-Cortez 18%
Ossoff 18%
Buttigieg 16%
Survey ↗
Oct 24–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic LV
Harris 34%
Newsom 20%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Survey ↗
Oct 24–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican LV
Vance 40%
Rubio 21%
Trump Jr. 21%
Survey ↗
Oct 15–19, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 1010 LV
Harris 19%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Oct 15–19, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 1010 LV
Vance 38%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 12%
Survey ↗
Oct 12–19, 2026 NY Times/Siena Democratic 1170 RV
Harris 12%
Newsom 9%
Buttigieg 7%
Survey ↗
Oct 12–19, 2026 NY Times/Siena Republican 1170 RV
Vance 33%
Rubio 23%
DeSantis 3%
Survey ↗
Oct 3–6, 2026 Financial Times Democratic 2275 LV
Harris 30%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
Oct 3–6, 2026 Financial Times Republican 2275 LV
Vance 38%
Rubio 24%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Sep 26–28, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic 2200 RV
Harris 38%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%
Survey ↗
Sep 26–28, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican 2200 RV
Vance 39%
Trump Jr. 24%
Rubio 17%
Survey ↗
Sep 17–21, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 1002 LV
Harris 24%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Sep 17–21, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 1002 LV
Vance 38%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 8%
Survey ↗
Sep 13–15, 2026 Big Data Poll Democratic 2633 LV
Harris 27%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Sep 13–15, 2026 Big Data Poll Republican 2633 LV
Vance 38%
Rubio 16%
DeSantis 8%
Survey ↗
Sep 7–13, 2026 THP/MM Democratic 1392 LV
Harris 32%
Newsom 21%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Sep 7–13, 2026 THP/MM Republican 1392 LV
Vance 41%
Trump Jr. 22%
Rubio 17%
Survey ↗
Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 Financial Times Democratic 1837 LV
Harris 29%
Newsom 14%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Survey ↗
Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 Financial Times Republican 1837 LV
Vance 43%
Rubio 21%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Aug 28–30, 2026 Morning Consult Democratic 24000 RV
Harris 24%
Newsom 12%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
Aug 28–30, 2026 Morning Consult Republican 24000 RV
Vance 36%
Rubio 22%
DeSantis 8%
Survey ↗
Aug 28–30, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic 2100 RV
Harris 42%
Newsom 18%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
Aug 28–30, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican 2100 RV
Vance 44%
Rubio 21%
Trump Jr. 18%
Survey ↗
Aug 26–28, 2026 Quantus Insights Democratic 1200 LV
Buttigieg 26%
Ossoff 21%
Ocasio-Cortez 15%
Survey ↗
Aug 26–28, 2026 Quantus Insights Republican 1200 LV
Vance 41%
Rubio 29%
Trump Jr. 9%
Survey ↗
Aug 13–17, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 483 LV
Harris 18%
Buttigieg 13%
Newsom 12%
Survey ↗
Aug 13–17, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 483 LV
Vance 39%
Rubio 22%
DeSantis 10%
Survey ↗
Aug 7–11, 2026 Financial Times Democratic Not reported
Harris 26%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Aug 7–11, 2026 Financial Times Republican Not reported
Vance 45%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 8%
Survey ↗
Aug 2–4, 2026 Rasmussen Reports Democratic 1222 LV
Harris 37%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Jul 26–29, 2026 Big Data Poll Democratic 2617 LV
Harris 30%
Newsom 14%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Survey ↗
Jul 26–29, 2026 Big Data Poll Republican 2617 LV
Vance 38%
Rubio 16%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
Jul 20–22, 2026 Rasmussen Reports Republican 1104 LV
Vance 39%
Rubio 27%
Trump Jr. 9%
Survey ↗
Jul 19–20, 2026 Emerson Democratic 1100 LV
Buttigieg 19%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 13%
Survey ↗
Jul 19–20, 2026 Emerson Republican 1100 LV
Vance 39%
Rubio 38%
DeSantis 5%
Survey ↗
Jul 17–20, 2026 Daily Mail Democratic RV
Harris 31%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
Jul 17–20, 2026 Daily Mail Republican 543 RV
Vance 48%
Rubio 18%
DeSantis 12%
Survey ↗
Jul 9–13, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic Not reported
Harris 21%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Jul 9–13, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican Not reported
Vance 38%
Rubio 15%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Jul 11–12, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic 1776 RV
Harris 37%
Newsom 24%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Jul 11–12, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican 1776 RV
Vance 42%
Rubio 22%
Trump Jr. 18%
Survey ↗
Jul 3–7, 2026 Quantus Insights Democratic 1140 LV
Harris 35%
Newsom 18%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Jul 3–7, 2026 Quantus Insights Republican 1140 LV
Vance 42%
Rubio 26%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Jul 1–6, 2026 Manhattan Institute Democratic Not reported
Harris 19%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Jul 1–6, 2026 Manhattan Institute Republican Not reported
Vance 37%
Rubio 20%
Trump Jr. 9%
Survey ↗
Jul 3–6, 2026 Morning Consult Democratic RV
Harris 26%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Jul 3–6, 2026 Morning Consult Republican RV
Vance 32%
Trump Jr. 22%
Rubio 14%
Survey ↗
Jun 26–29, 2026 Financial Times Democratic 1795 RV
Harris 33%
Newsom 15%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Survey ↗
Jun 26–29, 2026 Financial Times Republican 1795 RV
Vance 40%
Rubio 18%
Trump Jr. 9%
Survey ↗
Jun 26–28, 2026 Big Data Poll Democratic 1256 LV
Harris 29%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Jun 26–28, 2026 Big Data Poll Republican 1166 LV
Vance 37%
Rubio 18%
DeSantis 8%
Survey ↗
Jun 24–26, 2026 Daily Mail Democratic RV
Harris 29%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 11%
Survey ↗
Jun 24–25, 2026 Daily Mail Republican Not reported
Vance 51%
Rubio 15%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Jun 11–14, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 1012 RV
Harris 20%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 14%
Survey ↗
Jun 11–14, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 1012 RV
Vance 42%
Rubio 15%
Trump Jr. 7%
Survey ↗
Jun 5–9, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 1211 LV
Vance 38%
Rubio 19%
Trump Jr. 13%
Survey ↗
May 29–Jun 1, 2026 Financial Times Democratic 1537 RV
Harris 37%
Newsom 17%
Buttigieg 8%
Survey ↗
May 29–Jun 1, 2026 Financial Times Republican 1537 RV
Vance 38%
Rubio 18%
Trump Jr. 10%
Survey ↗
May 29–31, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic 1725 RV
Harris 44%
Newsom 26%
Shapiro 10%
Survey ↗
May 29–31, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican 1725 RV
Vance 45%
Rubio 21%
Trump Jr. 21%
Survey ↗
May 26–28, 2026 I&I/TIPP Democratic 593 LV
Harris 31%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 6%
Survey ↗
May 26–28, 2026 I&I/TIPP Republican 561 LV
Vance 29%
Trump Jr. 19%
Rubio 12%
Survey ↗
May 24–27, 2026 Big Data Poll Democratic 2784 LV
Harris 29%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
May 24–27, 2026 Big Data Poll Republican 2784 LV
Vance 36%
Rubio 15%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
May 24–25, 2026 Emerson Democratic 1000 LV
Buttigieg 18%
Newsom 16%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Survey ↗
May 24–25, 2026 Emerson Republican 1000 LV
Vance 36%
Rubio 35%
DeSantis 5%
Survey ↗
May 18–20, 2026 Rasmussen Reports Democratic Not reported
Harris 34%
Newsom 12%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Survey ↗
May 15–19, 2026 Daily Mail Republican 496 LV
Vance 47%
Rubio 18%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
May 14–18, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 1008 LV
Harris 23%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Survey ↗
May 14–18, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 1008 LV
Vance 36%
Rubio 17%
DeSantis 12%
Survey ↗
May 4–7, 2026 Atlas Intel Democratic 2069 A
Ocasio-Cortez 26%
Buttigieg 22%
Newsom 21%
Survey ↗
May 4–7, 2026 Atlas Intel Republican 2069 A
Rubio 45%
Vance 30%
DeSantis 11%
Survey ↗
May 1–5, 2026 Financial Times Democratic 1339 LV
Harris 38%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
May 1–5, 2026 Financial Times Republican 1339 LV
Vance 40%
Trump Jr. 15%
Rubio 14%
Survey ↗
Apr 23–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic 2745 LV
Harris 50%
Newsom 22%
Shapiro 9%
Survey ↗
Apr 23–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican 2745 RV
Vance 48%
Trump Jr. 18%
Rubio 16%
Survey ↗
Apr 17–20, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 467 LV
Harris 22%
Newsom 21%
Buttigieg 12%
Survey ↗
Apr 17–20, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 467 LV
Vance 42%
Rubio 14%
Trump Jr. 10%
Survey ↗
Apr 8–13, 2026 YouGov Democratic 968 A
Harris 24%
Newsom 12%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
Apr 8–13, 2026 YouGov Republican 968 A
Vance 36%
Rubio 13%
Trump Jr. 13%
Survey ↗
Apr 9–13, 2026 Rasmussen Reports Republican 1007 LV
Vance 47%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
Mar 25–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic 2009 RV
Harris 41%
Newsom 26%
Shapiro 10%
Survey ↗
Mar 25–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican 2009 RV
Vance 42%
Trump Jr. 20%
Rubio 17%
Survey ↗
Mar 18–20, 2026 Daily Mail Democratic 541 LV
Harris 22%
Newsom 19%
Buttigieg 11%
Survey ↗
Mar 18–20, 2026 Daily Mail Republican 541 LV
Vance 50%
Rubio 17%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Mar 12–16, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic Not reported
Harris 21%
Newsom 19%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Survey ↗
Mar 12–16, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican Not reported
Vance 40%
Rubio 16%
Trump Jr. 9%
Survey ↗
Mar 2–3, 2026 Daily Mail Republican Not reported
Vance 53%
Rubio 14%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
Feb 25–27, 2026 Daily Mail Democratic Not reported
Harris 23%
Newsom 19%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Feb 25–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic Not reported
Harris 39%
Newsom 24%
Ocasio-Cortez 14%
Survey ↗
Feb 25–26, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican Not reported
Vance 43%
Trump Jr. 27%
Rubio 14%
Survey ↗
Feb 19–23, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic 498 RV
Newsom 24%
Harris 18%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Survey ↗
Feb 19–23, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican 429 RV
Vance 37%
Trump Jr. 14%
Rubio 11%
Survey ↗
Feb 21–22, 2026 Emerson Democratic 1000 LV
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 16%
Harris 13%
Survey ↗
Feb 21–22, 2026 Emerson Republican 1000 LV
Vance 52%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 6%
Survey ↗
Feb 9–12, 2026 Yahoo News Democratic 1149 RV
Newsom 19%
Harris 18%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Jan 28–29, 2026 Harvard-Harris Democratic RV
Harris 39%
Newsom 30%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%
Survey ↗
Jan 28–29, 2026 Harvard-Harris Republican RV
Vance 53%
Trump Jr. 21%
Rubio 17%
Survey ↗
Jan 27–29, 2026 I&I/TIPP Democratic 527 LV
Harris 38%
Newsom 13%
Buttigieg 5%
Survey ↗
Jan 27–29, 2026 I&I/TIPP Republican 527 LV
Vance 43%
Trump Jr. 18%
Rubio 5%
Survey ↗
Jan 25–27, 2026 Rasmussen Reports Democratic 1155 LV
Harris 34%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Jan 22–26, 2026 Echelon Insights Democratic Not reported
Newsom 27%
Harris 21%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Survey ↗
Jan 22–26, 2026 Echelon Insights Republican Not reported
Vance 40%
Trump Jr. 12%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
Jan 22–24, 2026 Big Data Poll Democratic 2909 LV
Harris 31%
Newsom 22%
Buttigieg 12%
Survey ↗
Jan 22–24, 2026 Big Data Poll Republican 2909 LV
Vance 46%
DeSantis 10%
Rubio 7%
Survey ↗
Jan 9–14, 2026 YouGov Democratic Not reported
Harris 20%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Survey ↗
Jan 9–14, 2026 YouGov Republican Not reported
Vance 41%
Trump Jr. 11%
DeSantis 8%
Survey ↗
Dec 15–19, 2025 Atlas Intel Democratic 2315 A
Newsom 35%
Ocasio-Cortez 16%
Buttigieg 15%
Survey ↗
Dec 15–19, 2025 Atlas Intel Republican 2315 A
Vance 47%
Rubio 23%
DeSantis 13%
Survey ↗
Dec 17–19, 2025 Daily Mail Democratic 383 LV
Harris 30%
Newsom 21%
Buttigieg 7%
Survey ↗
Dec 11–15, 2025 Echelon Insights Democratic 498 LV
Newsom 23%
Harris 22%
Buttigieg 11%
Survey ↗
Dec 11–15, 2025 Echelon Insights Republican 426 LV
Vance 45%
Trump Jr. 12%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Dec 10–12, 2025 Big Data Poll Republican 1337 RV
Vance 45%
DeSantis 8%
Rubio 7%
Survey ↗
Dec 10–12, 2025 Big Data Poll Democratic 1331 RV
Harris 31%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 10%
Survey ↗
Nov 18–20, 2025 Rasmussen Reports Republican 483 LV
Vance 62%
Rubio 10%
DeSantis 10%
Survey ↗
Nov 14–16, 2025 Morning Consult Democratic 984 RV
Harris 29%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 8%
Survey ↗
Nov 14–16, 2025 Morning Consult Republican 984 RV
Vance 42%
Trump Jr. 19%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
Sep 12–16, 2025 Atlas Intel Democratic 1066 A
Newsom 37%
Harris 21%
Buttigieg 12%
Survey ↗
Sep 12–16, 2025 Atlas Intel Republican 1066 A
Vance 55%
DeSantis 16%
Rubio 12%
Survey ↗
Aug 29–Sep 2, 2025 Yahoo News Democratic RV
Newsom 21%
Harris 19%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%
Survey ↗
Aug 25–26, 2025 Emerson Democratic 1000 RV
Newsom 25%
Buttigieg 16%
Harris 11%
Survey ↗
Aug 25–26, 2025 Emerson Republican 1000 RV
Vance 52%
Rubio 9%
DeSantis 7%
Survey ↗
Aug 22–24, 2025 Morning Consult Democratic Not reported
Harris 29%
Newsom 19%
Buttigieg 9%
Survey ↗
Aug 6–10, 2025 Rasmussen Reports Republican 1182 LV
Vance 35%
Rubio 10%
DeSantis 10%
Survey ↗
Jul 13–18, 2025 Atlas Intel Democratic Not reported
Buttigieg 27%
Ocasio-Cortez 19%
Newsom 16%
Survey ↗
Jul 13–18, 2025 Atlas Intel Republican A
Vance 58%
DeSantis 13%
Rubio 10%
Survey ↗
Jun 24–25, 2025 Emerson Democratic 404 RV
Buttigieg 16%
Harris 13%
Newsom 12%
Survey ↗
Jun 24–25, 2025 Emerson Republican 416 RV
Vance 46%
Rubio 12%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Jun 13–15, 2025 Morning Consult Democratic Not reported
Harris 34%
Newsom 11%
Buttigieg 7%
Survey ↗
May 21–27, 2025 Atlas Intel Democratic 895 RV
Buttigieg 32%
Ocasio-Cortez 19%
Harris 17%
Survey ↗
May 21–27, 2025 Atlas Intel Republican A
Vance 37%
Rubio 19%
Trump Jr. 9%
Survey ↗
May 13–14, 2025 J.L. Partners Democratic 975 RV
Harris 30%
Buttigieg 8%
Newsom 7%
Survey ↗
May 13–14, 2025 J.L. Partners Republican RV
Vance 46%
DeSantis 8%
Ramaswamy 7%
Survey ↗
Apr 21–23, 2025 Quantus Insights Democratic 700 RV
Harris 30%
Ocasio-Cortez 14%
Buttigieg 13%
Survey ↗
Apr 10–14, 2025 Atlas Intel Democratic RV
Buttigieg 28%
Harris 24%
Ocasio-Cortez 16%
Survey ↗
Apr 9–14, 2025 Data for Progress (D) Democratic 745 LV
Harris 18%
Buttigieg 14%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%
Survey ↗
Apr 10–14, 2025 Atlas Intel Republican A
Vance 60%
Rubio 9%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Mar 14–16, 2025 Morning Consult Democratic RV
Harris 36%
Buttigieg 10%
Newsom 5%
Survey ↗
Feb 2–3, 2025 Daily Mail Democratic 500 RV
Harris 30%
Newsom 8%
Buttigieg 8%
Survey ↗
Feb 2–3, 2025 Daily Mail Republican 1000 LV
Vance 57%
DeSantis 13%
Ramaswamy 8%
Survey ↗
Dec 6–8, 2024 Morning Consult Republican 994 RV
Vance 30%
Trump Jr. 30%
DeSantis 9%
Survey ↗
Nov 26, 2024 HarrisX Democratic 756 RV
Harris 22%
Sanders 10%
Newsom 7%
Survey ↗
Nov 20–22, 2024 Emerson Democratic 400 RV
Harris 37%
Newsom 7%
Buttigieg 4%
Survey ↗
Nov 20–22, 2024 Emerson Republican 420 RV
Vance 30%
DeSantis 5%
Ramaswamy 3%
Survey ↗

Atlas Intel Republican

Oct 31–Nov 1, 2026 · 1089 LV

Rubio 46%
Vance 33%
DeSantis 5%

Atlas Intel Democratic

Oct 31–Nov 1, 2026 · 1089 LV

Ocasio-Cortez 18%
Ossoff 18%
Buttigieg 16%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Oct 24–26, 2026 · LV

Harris 34%
Newsom 20%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Oct 24–26, 2026 · LV

Vance 40%
Rubio 21%
Trump Jr. 21%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Oct 15–19, 2026 · 1010 LV

Harris 19%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 13%

Echelon Insights Republican

Oct 15–19, 2026 · 1010 LV

Vance 38%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 12%

NY Times/Siena Democratic

Oct 12–19, 2026 · 1170 RV

Harris 12%
Newsom 9%
Buttigieg 7%

NY Times/Siena Republican

Oct 12–19, 2026 · 1170 RV

Vance 33%
Rubio 23%
DeSantis 3%

Financial Times Democratic

Oct 3–6, 2026 · 2275 LV

Harris 30%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 9%

Financial Times Republican

Oct 3–6, 2026 · 2275 LV

Vance 38%
Rubio 24%
DeSantis 9%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Sep 26–28, 2026 · 2200 RV

Harris 38%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Sep 26–28, 2026 · 2200 RV

Vance 39%
Trump Jr. 24%
Rubio 17%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Sep 17–21, 2026 · 1002 LV

Harris 24%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 10%

Echelon Insights Republican

Sep 17–21, 2026 · 1002 LV

Vance 38%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 8%

Big Data Poll Democratic

Sep 13–15, 2026 · 2633 LV

Harris 27%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 10%

Big Data Poll Republican

Sep 13–15, 2026 · 2633 LV

Vance 38%
Rubio 16%
DeSantis 8%

THP/MM Democratic

Sep 7–13, 2026 · 1392 LV

Harris 32%
Newsom 21%
Buttigieg 13%

THP/MM Republican

Sep 7–13, 2026 · 1392 LV

Vance 41%
Trump Jr. 22%
Rubio 17%

Financial Times Democratic

Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 · 1837 LV

Harris 29%
Newsom 14%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Financial Times Republican

Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 · 1837 LV

Vance 43%
Rubio 21%
DeSantis 9%

Morning Consult Democratic

Aug 28–30, 2026 · 24000 RV

Harris 24%
Newsom 12%
Buttigieg 9%

Morning Consult Republican

Aug 28–30, 2026 · 24000 RV

Vance 36%
Rubio 22%
DeSantis 8%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Aug 28–30, 2026 · 2100 RV

Harris 42%
Newsom 18%
Buttigieg 9%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Aug 28–30, 2026 · 2100 RV

Vance 44%
Rubio 21%
Trump Jr. 18%

Quantus Insights Democratic

Aug 26–28, 2026 · 1200 LV

Buttigieg 26%
Ossoff 21%
Ocasio-Cortez 15%

Quantus Insights Republican

Aug 26–28, 2026 · 1200 LV

Vance 41%
Rubio 29%
Trump Jr. 9%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Aug 13–17, 2026 · 483 LV

Harris 18%
Buttigieg 13%
Newsom 12%

Echelon Insights Republican

Aug 13–17, 2026 · 483 LV

Vance 39%
Rubio 22%
DeSantis 10%

Financial Times Democratic

Aug 7–11, 2026

Harris 26%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 13%

Financial Times Republican

Aug 7–11, 2026

Vance 45%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 8%

Rasmussen Reports Democratic

Aug 2–4, 2026 · 1222 LV

Harris 37%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 10%

Big Data Poll Democratic

Jul 26–29, 2026 · 2617 LV

Harris 30%
Newsom 14%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%

Big Data Poll Republican

Jul 26–29, 2026 · 2617 LV

Vance 38%
Rubio 16%
DeSantis 7%

Rasmussen Reports Republican

Jul 20–22, 2026 · 1104 LV

Vance 39%
Rubio 27%
Trump Jr. 9%

Emerson Democratic

Jul 19–20, 2026 · 1100 LV

Buttigieg 19%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 13%

Emerson Republican

Jul 19–20, 2026 · 1100 LV

Vance 39%
Rubio 38%
DeSantis 5%

Daily Mail Democratic

Jul 17–20, 2026 · RV

Harris 31%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 9%

Daily Mail Republican

Jul 17–20, 2026 · 543 RV

Vance 48%
Rubio 18%
DeSantis 12%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Jul 9–13, 2026

Harris 21%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 13%

Echelon Insights Republican

Jul 9–13, 2026

Vance 38%
Rubio 15%
DeSantis 9%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Jul 11–12, 2026 · 1776 RV

Harris 37%
Newsom 24%
Buttigieg 10%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Jul 11–12, 2026 · 1776 RV

Vance 42%
Rubio 22%
Trump Jr. 18%

Quantus Insights Democratic

Jul 3–7, 2026 · 1140 LV

Harris 35%
Newsom 18%
Buttigieg 13%

Quantus Insights Republican

Jul 3–7, 2026 · 1140 LV

Vance 42%
Rubio 26%
DeSantis 9%

Manhattan Institute Democratic

Jul 1–6, 2026

Harris 19%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 13%

Manhattan Institute Republican

Jul 1–6, 2026

Vance 37%
Rubio 20%
Trump Jr. 9%

Morning Consult Democratic

Jul 3–6, 2026 · RV

Harris 26%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 10%

Morning Consult Republican

Jul 3–6, 2026 · RV

Vance 32%
Trump Jr. 22%
Rubio 14%

Financial Times Democratic

Jun 26–29, 2026 · 1795 RV

Harris 33%
Newsom 15%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%

Financial Times Republican

Jun 26–29, 2026 · 1795 RV

Vance 40%
Rubio 18%
Trump Jr. 9%

Big Data Poll Democratic

Jun 26–28, 2026 · 1256 LV

Harris 29%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 10%

Big Data Poll Republican

Jun 26–28, 2026 · 1166 LV

Vance 37%
Rubio 18%
DeSantis 8%

Daily Mail Democratic

Jun 24–26, 2026 · RV

Harris 29%
Newsom 15%
Buttigieg 11%

Daily Mail Republican

Jun 24–25, 2026

Vance 51%
Rubio 15%
DeSantis 9%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Jun 11–14, 2026 · 1012 RV

Harris 20%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 14%

Echelon Insights Republican

Jun 11–14, 2026 · 1012 RV

Vance 42%
Rubio 15%
Trump Jr. 7%

Echelon Insights Republican

Jun 5–9, 2026 · 1211 LV

Vance 38%
Rubio 19%
Trump Jr. 13%

Financial Times Democratic

May 29–Jun 1, 2026 · 1537 RV

Harris 37%
Newsom 17%
Buttigieg 8%

Financial Times Republican

May 29–Jun 1, 2026 · 1537 RV

Vance 38%
Rubio 18%
Trump Jr. 10%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

May 29–31, 2026 · 1725 RV

Harris 44%
Newsom 26%
Shapiro 10%

Harvard-Harris Republican

May 29–31, 2026 · 1725 RV

Vance 45%
Rubio 21%
Trump Jr. 21%

I&I/TIPP Democratic

May 26–28, 2026 · 593 LV

Harris 31%
Newsom 14%
Buttigieg 6%

I&I/TIPP Republican

May 26–28, 2026 · 561 LV

Vance 29%
Trump Jr. 19%
Rubio 12%

Big Data Poll Democratic

May 24–27, 2026 · 2784 LV

Harris 29%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 10%

Big Data Poll Republican

May 24–27, 2026 · 2784 LV

Vance 36%
Rubio 15%
DeSantis 7%

Emerson Democratic

May 24–25, 2026 · 1000 LV

Buttigieg 18%
Newsom 16%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Emerson Republican

May 24–25, 2026 · 1000 LV

Vance 36%
Rubio 35%
DeSantis 5%

Rasmussen Reports Democratic

May 18–20, 2026

Harris 34%
Newsom 12%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Daily Mail Republican

May 15–19, 2026 · 496 LV

Vance 47%
Rubio 18%
DeSantis 9%

Echelon Insights Democratic

May 14–18, 2026 · 1008 LV

Harris 23%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Echelon Insights Republican

May 14–18, 2026 · 1008 LV

Vance 36%
Rubio 17%
DeSantis 12%

Atlas Intel Democratic

May 4–7, 2026 · 2069 A

Ocasio-Cortez 26%
Buttigieg 22%
Newsom 21%

Atlas Intel Republican

May 4–7, 2026 · 2069 A

Rubio 45%
Vance 30%
DeSantis 11%

Financial Times Democratic

May 1–5, 2026 · 1339 LV

Harris 38%
Newsom 16%
Buttigieg 9%

Financial Times Republican

May 1–5, 2026 · 1339 LV

Vance 40%
Trump Jr. 15%
Rubio 14%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Apr 23–26, 2026 · 2745 LV

Harris 50%
Newsom 22%
Shapiro 9%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Apr 23–26, 2026 · 2745 RV

Vance 48%
Trump Jr. 18%
Rubio 16%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Apr 17–20, 2026 · 467 LV

Harris 22%
Newsom 21%
Buttigieg 12%

Echelon Insights Republican

Apr 17–20, 2026 · 467 LV

Vance 42%
Rubio 14%
Trump Jr. 10%

YouGov Democratic

Apr 8–13, 2026 · 968 A

Harris 24%
Newsom 12%
Buttigieg 9%

YouGov Republican

Apr 8–13, 2026 · 968 A

Vance 36%
Rubio 13%
Trump Jr. 13%

Rasmussen Reports Republican

Apr 9–13, 2026 · 1007 LV

Vance 47%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 7%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Mar 25–26, 2026 · 2009 RV

Harris 41%
Newsom 26%
Shapiro 10%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Mar 25–26, 2026 · 2009 RV

Vance 42%
Trump Jr. 20%
Rubio 17%

Daily Mail Democratic

Mar 18–20, 2026 · 541 LV

Harris 22%
Newsom 19%
Buttigieg 11%

Daily Mail Republican

Mar 18–20, 2026 · 541 LV

Vance 50%
Rubio 17%
DeSantis 9%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Mar 12–16, 2026

Harris 21%
Newsom 19%
Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Echelon Insights Republican

Mar 12–16, 2026

Vance 40%
Rubio 16%
Trump Jr. 9%

Daily Mail Republican

Mar 2–3, 2026

Vance 53%
Rubio 14%
DeSantis 7%

Daily Mail Democratic

Feb 25–27, 2026

Harris 23%
Newsom 19%
Buttigieg 10%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Feb 25–26, 2026

Harris 39%
Newsom 24%
Ocasio-Cortez 14%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Feb 25–26, 2026

Vance 43%
Trump Jr. 27%
Rubio 14%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Feb 19–23, 2026 · 498 RV

Newsom 24%
Harris 18%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%

Echelon Insights Republican

Feb 19–23, 2026 · 429 RV

Vance 37%
Trump Jr. 14%
Rubio 11%

Emerson Democratic

Feb 21–22, 2026 · 1000 LV

Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 16%
Harris 13%

Emerson Republican

Feb 21–22, 2026 · 1000 LV

Vance 52%
Rubio 20%
DeSantis 6%

Yahoo News Democratic

Feb 9–12, 2026 · 1149 RV

Newsom 19%
Harris 18%
Buttigieg 13%

Harvard-Harris Democratic

Jan 28–29, 2026 · RV

Harris 39%
Newsom 30%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Harvard-Harris Republican

Jan 28–29, 2026 · RV

Vance 53%
Trump Jr. 21%
Rubio 17%

I&I/TIPP Democratic

Jan 27–29, 2026 · 527 LV

Harris 38%
Newsom 13%
Buttigieg 5%

I&I/TIPP Republican

Jan 27–29, 2026 · 527 LV

Vance 43%
Trump Jr. 18%
Rubio 5%

Rasmussen Reports Democratic

Jan 25–27, 2026 · 1155 LV

Harris 34%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 10%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Jan 22–26, 2026

Newsom 27%
Harris 21%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%

Echelon Insights Republican

Jan 22–26, 2026

Vance 40%
Trump Jr. 12%
DeSantis 7%

Big Data Poll Democratic

Jan 22–24, 2026 · 2909 LV

Harris 31%
Newsom 22%
Buttigieg 12%

Big Data Poll Republican

Jan 22–24, 2026 · 2909 LV

Vance 46%
DeSantis 10%
Rubio 7%

YouGov Democratic

Jan 9–14, 2026

Harris 20%
Newsom 17%
Ocasio-Cortez 9%

YouGov Republican

Jan 9–14, 2026

Vance 41%
Trump Jr. 11%
DeSantis 8%

Atlas Intel Democratic

Dec 15–19, 2025 · 2315 A

Newsom 35%
Ocasio-Cortez 16%
Buttigieg 15%

Atlas Intel Republican

Dec 15–19, 2025 · 2315 A

Vance 47%
Rubio 23%
DeSantis 13%

Daily Mail Democratic

Dec 17–19, 2025 · 383 LV

Harris 30%
Newsom 21%
Buttigieg 7%

Echelon Insights Democratic

Dec 11–15, 2025 · 498 LV

Newsom 23%
Harris 22%
Buttigieg 11%

Echelon Insights Republican

Dec 11–15, 2025 · 426 LV

Vance 45%
Trump Jr. 12%
DeSantis 9%

Big Data Poll Republican

Dec 10–12, 2025 · 1337 RV

Vance 45%
DeSantis 8%
Rubio 7%

Big Data Poll Democratic

Dec 10–12, 2025 · 1331 RV

Harris 31%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 10%

Rasmussen Reports Republican

Nov 18–20, 2025 · 483 LV

Vance 62%
Rubio 10%
DeSantis 10%

Morning Consult Democratic

Nov 14–16, 2025 · 984 RV

Harris 29%
Newsom 20%
Buttigieg 8%

Morning Consult Republican

Nov 14–16, 2025 · 984 RV

Vance 42%
Trump Jr. 19%
DeSantis 7%

Atlas Intel Democratic

Sep 12–16, 2025 · 1066 A

Newsom 37%
Harris 21%
Buttigieg 12%

Atlas Intel Republican

Sep 12–16, 2025 · 1066 A

Vance 55%
DeSantis 16%
Rubio 12%

Yahoo News Democratic

Aug 29–Sep 2, 2025 · RV

Newsom 21%
Harris 19%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Emerson Democratic

Aug 25–26, 2025 · 1000 RV

Newsom 25%
Buttigieg 16%
Harris 11%

Emerson Republican

Aug 25–26, 2025 · 1000 RV

Vance 52%
Rubio 9%
DeSantis 7%

Morning Consult Democratic

Aug 22–24, 2025

Harris 29%
Newsom 19%
Buttigieg 9%

Rasmussen Reports Republican

Aug 6–10, 2025 · 1182 LV

Vance 35%
Rubio 10%
DeSantis 10%

Atlas Intel Democratic

Jul 13–18, 2025

Buttigieg 27%
Ocasio-Cortez 19%
Newsom 16%

Atlas Intel Republican

Jul 13–18, 2025 · A

Vance 58%
DeSantis 13%
Rubio 10%

Emerson Democratic

Jun 24–25, 2025 · 404 RV

Buttigieg 16%
Harris 13%
Newsom 12%

Emerson Republican

Jun 24–25, 2025 · 416 RV

Vance 46%
Rubio 12%
DeSantis 9%

Morning Consult Democratic

Jun 13–15, 2025

Harris 34%
Newsom 11%
Buttigieg 7%

Atlas Intel Democratic

May 21–27, 2025 · 895 RV

Buttigieg 32%
Ocasio-Cortez 19%
Harris 17%

Atlas Intel Republican

May 21–27, 2025 · A

Vance 37%
Rubio 19%
Trump Jr. 9%

J.L. Partners Democratic

May 13–14, 2025 · 975 RV

Harris 30%
Buttigieg 8%
Newsom 7%

J.L. Partners Republican

May 13–14, 2025 · RV

Vance 46%
DeSantis 8%
Ramaswamy 7%

Quantus Insights Democratic

Apr 21–23, 2025 · 700 RV

Harris 30%
Ocasio-Cortez 14%
Buttigieg 13%

Atlas Intel Democratic

Apr 10–14, 2025 · RV

Buttigieg 28%
Harris 24%
Ocasio-Cortez 16%

Data for Progress (D) Democratic

Apr 9–14, 2025 · 745 LV

Harris 18%
Buttigieg 14%
Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Atlas Intel Republican

Apr 10–14, 2025 · A

Vance 60%
Rubio 9%
DeSantis 9%

Morning Consult Democratic

Mar 14–16, 2025 · RV

Harris 36%
Buttigieg 10%
Newsom 5%

Daily Mail Democratic

Feb 2–3, 2025 · 500 RV

Harris 30%
Newsom 8%
Buttigieg 8%

Daily Mail Republican

Feb 2–3, 2025 · 1000 LV

Vance 57%
DeSantis 13%
Ramaswamy 8%

Morning Consult Republican

Dec 6–8, 2024 · 994 RV

Vance 30%
Trump Jr. 30%
DeSantis 9%

HarrisX Democratic

Nov 26, 2024 · 756 RV

Harris 22%
Sanders 10%
Newsom 7%

Emerson Democratic

Nov 20–22, 2024 · 400 RV

Harris 37%
Newsom 7%
Buttigieg 4%

Emerson Republican

Nov 20–22, 2024 · 420 RV

Vance 30%
DeSantis 5%
Ramaswamy 3%

How Our 2028 Presidential Polling Averages Work

Election Central independently calculates presidential primary polling averages from published individual surveys. Each eligible polling organization receives equal weight, using its most recent qualifying survey within the selected period.

Choose between 60-day averages, 30-day averages, and the five most recent qualifying polls. At least three distinct polling organizations and three reported candidate observations are required for an average to appear. Missing candidate results are excluded rather than counted as zero.

Understanding the Polling Data

Trend Line displays independently calculated rolling polling averages, while Individual Polls shows reported survey results. The What’s Changed section compares averages from seven days apart. Changes are measured in percentage points and may reflect surveys entering or leaving the averaging period.

Survey population labels include LV (likely voters), RV (registered voters), and A (adults). Polling organizations may use different sampling methods, questions, and voter populations. Individual results are not necessarily directly comparable.

Sources: Election Central tracks published national presidential primary surveys using polling information from public sources and links to original surveys where available. The polling averages displayed here are calculated independently by Election Central.

Early primary polls reflect voter preferences at the time of each survey. They are not predictions of the eventual presidential nominees or election results.

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