2016 Nevada Republican Caucus Results – Open Thread

Nevada Republicans will caucus tonight to choose their preferred presidential nominee. The results will not come in until very late, possibly closer to midnight eastern time since the caucus does not begin until early evening in Nevada. Donald Trump appears to be the favorite heading in, however, anything could happen given that caucuses are unpredictable and polling is very sparse.

Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Nevada Republican Caucus
Live Results: DecisionDeskHQ, CNN, NYTimes
Caucus starts between 5pm – 7pm PT (may vary by county)
Find Caucus Location

Nevada will award delegates proportionally with 30 delegates at stake.

Latest updates throughout the day will appear here, newest at the top:

Update 2 – 11:03am ET 2/24

Here are the final numbers with 100% reporting:

Update 1 – 12:00am ET 2/24

The Associated Press has announced Donald Trump will handily win the Nevada Republican Caucus. Here is the race as called just after midnight:

The numbers will continue rolling in but we’re signing off for the night. Follow the results above at the Live Results links. Full update available in the morning.

Original Story

Report from the New York Times:

Donald J. Trump’s Republican rivals are seeking to make a stand against him in the Nevada caucuses on Tuesday, their last chance to slow his momentum before a dozen states vote on the party’s presidential nomination next week.

But it may be difficult to stop Mr. Trump in Nevada, where he has enjoyed a high profile because of his business dealings in Las Vegas and where only a small number of voters have typically participated in the caucuses.

Senators Ted Cruz of Texas and Marco Rubio of Florida have established serious operations in the state, and both campaigned there in advance of Tuesday’s contest. They may once again be battling for second place rather than for a real shot at dethroning Mr. Trump.

That battle took on a sharply personal tone on Monday, when Mr. Cruz fired a top aide because he had spread a video that misrepresented comments Mr. Rubio made about the Bible. Mr. Cruz said he was upholding his campaign’s standards of integrity. Mr. Rubio’s team fired back that Mr. Cruz, not his aide, was the one with the character problem.

If Rubio were to win Nevada, for example, it would certainly reshape the race to an extent as it would break Trump’s winning streak. On the other hand, given that this is a caucus and not being held as a traditional primary, it might just reinforce the “Trump does badly at caucuses” narrative without actually changing the race. Most of the Super Tuesday states are holding primaries, not caucuses, so that bodes better for Trump.

Polling and trends are favorable to a Trump victory right now so that is what I would expect heading into tonight. An upset is certainly possible, given the way caucuses are unpredictable, but if the polls are anywhere near accurate, Trump could be holding as high as a 26 point lead which leaves a lot of cushion.

We’ll be updating this thread later in the evening when we start to get results.

View Comments (145)

  • From everything I'm seeing in NV, it looks like they are not that organized and most people are simply voting and leaving with a smaller pool of voters staying around to caucus. IMO, the current poll numbers may provide an accurate estimate on who wins tonight. I don't see any signs there will be an upset

  • Best possible outcome (after Trump wins by double margin again):

    1) Canadian Latino Cruz is 2nd --- staying in the race with the help of his Zionist Goldman Sachs wife's backing, thus shoving it in the face of the other Latino, Rubio the RINO.

    2) Latino Rubio is third --- thus, showing that The Establishment-scum are quickly becoming immaterial.

    3) Brainless Kasich sticks till march 1st --- sucking up more votes from Establishment Neocon Robot Rubio.

    4) Ben, the patriot, Carson ends his bid --- mercifully.

    p.s. After the Kenyan foreigner Obama DISASTER --- who'd be stupid enough to vote for another foreigner...in this case a choice pair of Latinos...?!

    The American People are waking up and saying: Enough is enough!

  • Vote for Trump and you will ruin the USA. His thinking is so old school. The World has changed and he egotistically thinks he can change it back to the good old days. Wrong. The rest of the World has caught up with the help of the internet and Global economics. That is a force that this twit can't change. Bring back those car manufacturing jobs from Mexico etc, and you will be paying way more for that car that you want, as Americans won't work for peanuts like Mexicans.
    Trump is a smoke and mirror type of guy. He has so many lawsuits against him for his sketchy business practises. If you want him to run the USA, Good Luck!!, but he will just be helping the rest of the world as they quickly catch up to the USA standard of living.
    If you are stuck amongst the smoke and vote for him, you will then deserve what you get.

    • 'The rest of the world has caught up...' Really? I hope you are not referring to the Global money wars and negative interest rates as countries around the world are printing currencies like water to flood their systems in order to prevent recession. Well let us take a look at Venezuela, Japan, Greece, Italy, France, would you like me to continue? In Japan the rates of interest are negative, which means you pay the bank for the honor of loaning them your money. Yes I see how much the 'rest of the world has caught up' to the USA. Either you are a terrible liar or you are just not very well educated. Now, by caught up do you mean the magnificent 'migrant crisis' where Europe is being flooded by mostly Muslim males? Obviously you were not talking about the value of their currency. Perhaps you were referring to how the EU nearly went bankrupt and is only hanging on by a thread, mostly thanks to what was the strong economy and currency of Germany. Or maybe you meant the Middle East was catching up, because Syria, Iraq and Libya are doing so well currently! Just a minor ethnic genocidal cleansing....
      No? Perhaps you were speaking of Saudi Arabia and Russia, otherwise known as the big players of OPEC. Clearly they are dong swell, with oil prices dropping faster than dead flies. You know what, never mind. I am sure your list of countries 'catching up' is far shorter than those countries flailing in their economical death throes

    • That is actually one of his better ideas. More jobs in America, is better for the American economy and helps with unemployment. Not to mention, with more people employed, there is more taxable income and that helps with the deficit. "Free-trade" does not benefit anyone, except the powers that be.

      • Telling someone to "[S]top voting for Lieing (sic)Politicians" and vote for Trump?

        One or the other, dude.

      • You think Trump is honest? He has fooled you. Do you have any insight into his business practises? Has he ever bribed a politician for his business purposes?
        You are obviously drinking the Kool-Aid that Trump is serving my friend. He is just telling you what you want to hear. So basically,he is using the naïve (like yourself) to fulfill his lifetime dream of being the most powerful man in the world.
        (definition of naïve- a person showing a lack of experience, wisdom or judgement)

        • You're full of BS... He's not a Lieing Politician like Cruz or even Rubio... But watch... Rubio will be named VP for Trump by April... cause Trump will win it by March 15th

          • You're right. "He's not a Lieing (sic)Politician (sic) like Cruz or even Rubio..."

            He's a liar in a class by himself.

          • You are in a class all by yourself too; probably closest resembling mutant bacterial/viral strains

          • Is projection the only word you know how to properly spell? Based on your gross over usage I would say yes. Speaking of pony, don't go all Catherine II on us

  • Notice how Hundreds of Millions are being spent to Dump on Trump, but not enough money to print enough Ballots.

  • Trump is not a conservative,

    Conservatives are for free markets, Trump will start a sanctions war with China
    Conservatives are for flat taxes, Trump supports progressive taxes
    Conservatives are for small government, Trump's policies will balloon the size and power of the police state (finding illegal immigrants and deporting them will take a large expansion of domestic intelligence and police power)
    Conservatives support gun rights, Trump supported the Clinton Assault Weapons Ban
    Conservatives are pro-life, Trump supports Planned Parenthood
    Conservatives support the freedom of Judeo-Christianity, Trump is barely religious
    Conservatives are pro-business, Trump supports the minimum wage
    Conservatives need to take back America and block out the socialist/fascist liberals, Trump will compromise with Democrats

    I'll say it again, Trump is not a conservative.
    Vote for Cruz. The only good government is no government.

    • Sure. Let's go back to the Articles of Confederation because that worked so well in the 18th century.

      You're right about one thing though; Cruz as President would be the end of government and America.

    • Cruz? The Liar? The Idiot? The guy who only cares about himself? The guy that isn't liked by it's own Senators in Washington? The guy who will lie and cheat to steal votes from other canidates? The guy who also has given us no plan to cut the deficit! They guy who says will end obamacare but has no alternative? Oh and BTW Conservatives and Moderates who are Voting For Trump don't give a CRAP about Conservatives or LIberal ways of the Past... We want someone who will Make America Great Again... and that's a NonPolitical Hack in office who can make good Deals and make the Military Strong, Bring Back Jobs, End Obamacare and replace it will Health Savings Accounts, End Commoncore, Take Care of the Vets, Stand with Isreal and our Allies, and more... Now, Who Really Doesn't Want This?

          • So you're OK with compromising with Democrats, Planned Parenthood, and Progressive taxes?
            BTW Trump likes the individual mandate, or did..until he didn't 2 days later. Which is the core of Obamacare.
            What I'm trying to kind of get at is - if you're Ok with those things, when why did/have you voted conservative in the past?

          • We need to compromise with Democrats! We need to with both sides. That's the problem in Washington... No Deals are Done! And Bad Deals are Done! Trump isn't raising out taxes.. He has said Obamacare is too expensive and done wrong since before he started running. No other person has a alternative plan on Obamacare but Trump who has consistantly said Health Savings Accounts and state ran lines need to be cut for lower costs!
            Again this isn't about True Conservative Values... it's about Making America Great.. not everything will be hard core Conservatism..but the majority will be how conservatives feel.

          • Scottsvb:
            Beware of using the word "compromise." People tend to read it as "giving in."

            Trump uses the word "negotiate," which means, I'll get what I want, and I'll give you what you want--as long as you don't want something that matters to me.

          • So it's time for me to be frank, my first comment was mostly a troll. I'm definitely a small-gov't progressive (you might think that's an oxymoron, but it's not, I'll explain if you want).

            I had never considered until having this conversation that the Trump phenomenon isn't an ideologically conservative revolution, but more of a centrist one with some right-wing flair. It gives me some hope.

            In all honesty, I could support Trump were it not for his comments about Mexicans and Muslims. My commitment to religious and racial non-discrimination is nearly absolute, along with my aversion to authoritarian government and large standing armies. I'm actually sort of screwed when it comes to the choice between candidates...

          • I don't like Muslims cause they don't like US! And they tip like 5% when they dine out or Not at all. Now with Trump... he likes Mexicans.. he just wants them to enter the country Legally! He has 100s working for him if not 1000s. With Muslims, he don't like the Islamic ones that don't respect christians and the radicals! I mean who really does?

  • The more Trump wins the more a Democrat will be President . The Republican Party will be laughed at with the world and If Trump wins that nomination his choosen vice President political career is over .

  • You all should google "Hilary Clinton Scandals" and you may change your mind about Trump, I think their are alot on both sides and think that Mr trump not the best is also not politically motivated and will send a message to both parties that we are fed up with their way of doing business

  • Trump is pulling in crowds that I haven't seen in a long time. Bernie has had some big crowds but from the Republican delegates the crowds they are having is embarrassing compared to Trump's.

Comments are closed.