Poll: Obama loses double-digit lead with independents

According to the latest Pew Research Center poll, President Obama has gone from a double-digit lead with independents, when matched up with a generic Republican challenger, down to a statistical tie of a one point lead.

Report from the Christian Science Monitor:

President Obama’s appeal among independent voters appears to be slipping, and as a result, he has lost his double-digit lead in polls that measure whether the president or an unnamed Republican is favored to win the White House in 2012.

A new Pew Research Center poll among registered voters, conducted July 20-24, found that 41 percent favor Mr. Obama in next year’s presidential election, while 40 percent favor a Republican candidate. In May, Obama held an 11-point lead over a generic Republican candidate.

“This shift is driven by a steep drop-off in support for Obama among independent voters,” Pew Research president Andrew Kohut said in a statement. In the July Pew poll, 31 percent of independent voters favor Obama’s reelection, down from 42 percent in May and 40 percent in March.

For the 2012 election, Obama held a seven-point lead among independents in May. Now, the generic Republican leads among independents by eight points.

The numbers, while unwelcome news for the White House, probably do not come as a surprise. The Real Clear Politics average of major polls currently has the generic Republican candidate favored over Obama, 44.7 percent to 41 percent. One notable exception is the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, which has the president three points ahead – 42 to 39 percent – in a test race against an unnamed Republican.

Clearly the debt ceiling debate is taking a massive toll on the President’s numbers and we’re now seeing that reflected in multiple polls over the past month. It also appears that while voters are unhappy with both Republican and Democrat behavior on the issue, that dislike hasn’t spilled over to the 2012 Republican challengers who continue to rise in popularity when match against the President.

View Comments (4)

  • Knowing what I know about Obama, he's lucky to be leading by one point. I think by the end of August is rating amongst independents will drop by an additional 6-9 points.

  • To vote for Obama is like voting for Bin Ladin, they are one in the same, they both hate America.
    Obama is doing everything in his power to lower the value of the daollar but yet people still want to vote for this nut.

  • I always said before Obama was elected that I believe that he hates this country and white ppl wants to destroy them. The old saying "You are judged by the company you keep" is true because you choose to keep it. I work in nursing, I don't drink, I don't smoke, I don't use drugs, and I have been faithfully married for almost 17 yrs. I would not choose to hang around with people I have nothing in common with like drug addicts, drunks, or prostitutes... I don't like that type of person and I have no respect for them. Obama has named several people as his "friends and mentors" like Rev. Wright and Frank Marshall Davis both of whom HATE white people and hate America. Many of his other friends such as the professor who called the white cop a racist and fought with him for doing his job, or Ayers who really hate America and wealthy whites. His own wife's college papers were all about how terrible whites are and how racist everyone is towards blacks. I could go on and on but the bottom line is that Obama chose to befriend these people, why if he had nothing in common with them? Look at when he was campaigning, he said Wright was his friend and mentor and how much he admired him and how he spent 20+ yrs at his church... Then 2 days later Wright was exposed as a racist America hater and Obama said, "I never heard him say those things." Then a few days later when nobody believed him he said, "I did hear him say those things but I don't agree with them." Now if I went anywhere and they were saying the crap he was, I would have left and never went back or talked to this clown again but Obama did UNTIL he was exposed. He lied right to everyone face and many just excepted it and voted for him anyway. He also said on TV that his grandmother was a "typical white." If a white said anyone was a typical black they would be bashed like heck. Obama paid 2 million dollars to keep his birth certificate hidden then mysteriously allowed it to be shown, why would he do that unless it was fake? Anyone who voted for him the first time was blind, anyone who votes for him again after the mess he has created is just plain brain dead.

  • OBAMA HAS GOT MY VOTE.

    PEOPLE ACTUALLY THINK HE CAN FIX EVERYTHING FROM ONE DAY TO ANOTHER, BE FOR REAL,IT TOOK REPUBLICANS 12 YRS TO RUIN THIS COUNTRY AND YOU EXPECT OBAMA TO FIX IT IN 4 YRS, HA FUNNY

    OBAMA , YOU GOT MY VOTE AND MY ENTIRE FAMILY , I KNOW THAT WHAT THE POLLS ARE STATING ARE NOT REAL
    YOU PERCENTAGE IS MUCH HIGHER THEN ,THAT OF WHAT THEY STATE.

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